BlackRock (BLK)
NYSEFinancialsAsset ManagementSnapshot 2026-09-04
$1122.29-0.34%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEFinancialsAsset ManagementSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · BLK
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is still in the top half of its industry but slipped notably this past month — worth watching.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 12.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 14.1% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 1.5 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 36 industry peers
BLK — debt issuance
Dated 2026-06-30
Other Events. On June 30, 2026, BlackRock, Inc. (the “Company”) filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”) a prospectus supplement (the “Prospectus Supplement”) to register the issuance by the Company of up to 12,035,866 shares (the “Shares”) of the Company’s common stock, $0.01 par value per share (the “common stock”), to the holders of Class B-2 membership units (“SubCo Units”) of BlackRock Saturn Subco, LLC (“Subco”), a consolidated subsidiary of the Company, from time t…
Why it matters: Strong inflows show that clients trust BlackRock. This helps grow their asset management business.
Supportive ifTotal net inflows for the quarter are over $130 billion. This shows strong demand for products.
Worry ifNet inflows drop below $100 billion. This suggests clients are less interested.
Why it matters: Updates on fundraising progress are key to meeting the $400B goal by 2030.
Supportive ifNew private markets fundraising is over $50 billion in the next quarter.
Worry ifNo big updates or fundraising below $20 billion in the next quarter.
Why it matters: This goal is important for BlackRock's long-term plans. Reaching it shows strong fundraising.
Supportive ifPrivate markets AUM reported at $400 billion or more.
Worry ifPrivate markets AUM is below $300 billion.
Why it matters: Higher EPS shows strong profits and good cost management.
Supportive ifQuarterly diluted EPS is over $14.06. This shows strong earnings.
Worry ifDiluted EPS drops below $12.50. This may raise concerns about profits.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$109 on $10,000 · ±1.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $271 loss on $10,000 · 2.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,242 loss on $10,000 · 22.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: A drop in diluted EPS may show problems with profits and efficiency.
Worry ifQ2 diluted EPS reported below $12.53.
Less concerning ifQ2 diluted EPS reported above $12.53.
Why it matters: Net inflows show client confidence and market position.
Watch forTotal net inflows exceed $130 billion in Q2 2026.
Also watch forTotal net inflows fall below $100 billion in Q2 2026.
Why it matters: Slower growth in private markets AUM could hinder BlackRock's goal of $400 billion in fundraising by 2030.
Worry ifPrivate markets AUM growth falls below 10% year-over-year.
Less concerning ifPrivate markets AUM growth is over 10% each year.
Why it matters: This growth rate is key to BlackRock's revenue health. A drop signals weaker demand.
Worry ifQ3 organic base fee growth reported below 8%.
Less concerning ifQ3 organic base fee growth reported at or above 8%.
Why it matters: Progress towards this goal shows BlackRock's growth potential in private markets.
Supportive ifLook for news about new private fundraising over $25 billion.
Worry ifNo big fundraising news or a drop in fundraising activity.
Why it matters: More share buybacks show strong returns and management's faith in the company.
Supportive ifShare buybacks were over $550 million in Q3.
Worry ifShare buybacks were below $550 million in Q3.