Bob's Discount Furniture Inc (BOBS)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionarySpecialty RetailSnapshot 2026-09-04
$17.64+7.36%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionarySpecialty RetailSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · BOBS
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
No current thesis-health read is available for this company.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 41.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 90.9% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 145 days
Most sensitive to long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 49.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 44 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
BOBS — earnings in line
Dated 2026-08-06
Results of Operation and Financial Condition On August 6, 2026, Bob’s Discount Furniture, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the fiscal quarter ended June 28, 2026. A copy of the release is attached as Exhibit 99.1 and incorporated herein by reference. The information contained in this Item, including Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934,…
Why it matters: Maintaining capex guidance shows a steady investment strategy. It signals confidence in growth plans.
Supportive ifBob's confirms capex guidance for 2026 is $110 to $115 million again.
Worry ifBob's revises capex guidance down from $110 million.
Why it matters: Opening 20 new stores is key to Bob's growth strategy and market expansion.
Supportive ifTotal new store openings reach 20 by the end of 2026, supporting revenue growth.
Worry ifNew store openings will be less than 20 by year-end. This shows slower growth.
Why it matters: This extra revenue could greatly improve financial performance this year.
Supportive ifThe company confirms $40 million in revenue from the 53rd week.
Worry ifThe company does not achieve the expected $40 million from the 53rd week.
Why it matters: A big drop in net income may show operational issues or higher costs. This can hurt investor confidence.
Worry ifQ2 net income reported below $28 million.
Less concerning ifQ2 net income reported above $30 million.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$239 on $10,000 · ±2.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $711 loss on $10,000 · 7.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,628 loss on $10,000 · 56.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Maintaining comparable sales growth shows the strength of Bob's value strategy in a tough market.
Supportive ifQ3 sales growth is over 1.5%. This shows strong customer demand.
Worry ifQ3 sales growth is below 1.5%. This suggests weaker consumer interest.
Why it matters: Staying in this range shows careful spending. It helps growth without stretching resources.
Supportive ifCapital spending is reported to be between $110 and $115 million for 2026.
Worry ifCapital spending is over $115 million for 2026.
Why it matters: Confirming plans shows confidence in Bob's growth and financial health during tough times.
Watch forFull-year revenue guidance of $2.6 to $2.625 billion is confirmed in Q3 results.
Also watch forPlans are revised down. This shows possible problems in reaching financial goals.
Why it matters: Going over this amount shows strong profits and good cost management. This boosts investor trust.
Supportive ifNet income for Q3 2026 exceeds $40 million.
Worry ifNet income for Q3 2026 falls below $40 million.
Why it matters: Keeping SG&A costs low is key for making money as Bob's grows.
Supportive ifSG&A as a percentage of revenue remains below 40% in Q3, indicating cost control.
Worry ifSG&A exceeds 40% of revenue in Q3, suggesting rising costs may hurt profits.
Why it matters: A drop would indicate financial strain and impact future growth plans.
Worry ifNet income reported above $113 million for the fiscal year.
Less concerning ifNet income reported below $113 million for the fiscal year.
Why it matters: Positive revenue growth in the sector may help Bob's Discount Furniture recover.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth turns positive after being negative.
Worry ifSector revenue growth remains negative.