Bob's Discount Furniture Inc (BOBS)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionarySpecialty RetailSnapshot 2026-11-04
$18.33+7.57%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionarySpecialty RetailSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · BOBS
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
No current thesis-health read is available for this company.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 21.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | Not available |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 186 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 186 days
Most sensitive to long-term interest rates and real (inflation-adjusted) rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A comparable growth gap is not available.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 11 industry peers
BOBS — earnings in line
Dated 2026-11-05
Results of Operation and Financial Condition On November 5, 2026, Bob’s Discount Furniture, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the fiscal quarter ended September 27, 2026. A copy of the release is attached as Exhibit 99.1 and incorporated herein by reference. The information contained in this Item, including Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of…
Why it matters: Bob's opened 9 stores in the first half and kept its goal near 20. Reaching that pace would support growth from new stores.
Supportive ifBob's reports about 20 new store openings for fiscal 2026, in line with its stated plan.
Worry ifBob's reports fewer than 15 openings for fiscal 2026 or cuts its goal below 20.
Why it matters: Q2 adjusted gross margin fell from 46.4% to 45.4%. Another decline would add to pressure from freight and store costs.
Worry ifQ3 adjusted gross margin is below 45.4%. This excludes tariff refunds.
Less concerning ifQ3 adjusted gross margin is at least 45.4%, excluding tariff refunds.
Why it matters: Bob's posted 2.3% comparable sales growth in Q2. A higher Q3 result would extend the recent gains despite weaker store traffic.
Supportive ifQ3 comparable sales growth is above 2.5%. Sales rose at stores open long enough to compare.
Worry ifQ3 comparable sales growth is below 1.5% or turns negative.
Why it matters: The next report can test the full-year sales and profit goals. Q2 also showed lower adjusted earnings per share than a year ago.
Watch forBob's keeps full-year revenue guidance at $2.600-$2.625 billion and adjusted EBITDA at $255-$265 million. Q3 adjusted earnings per share exceed $0.20.
Also watch forBob's cuts either full-year range, or Q3 adjusted earnings per share are below $0.20.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$183 on $10,000 · ±1.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $733 loss on $10,000 · 7.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,628 loss on $10,000 · 56.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Q2 adjusted EBITDA margin was 9.8%, down from 11.0% a year earlier. A further drop would show pressure on core earnings.
Worry ifQ3 adjusted EBITDA margin is below 9.8%. This excludes tariff refunds.
Less concerning ifQ3 adjusted EBITDA margin is at least 9.8%. This excludes tariff refunds.