Boston Omaha Corp. (BOC)
NYSEIndustrialsAdvertising AgenciesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$13.76-0.29%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsAdvertising AgenciesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · BOC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 117.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 6.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 111.0 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name has been missing across recent quarters and is on a run of consecutive earnings misses. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 14 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
BOC — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-13
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS AND FINANCIAL CONDITION. On August 13, 2026, Boston Omaha Corporation (the “Company”) issued a press release entitled “Boston Omaha Corporation Announces Second Quarter 2026 Financial Results” (the "Press Release"). The full text of the Press Release is attached to this Current Report on Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1. The Press Release was also simultaneously filed on the Company’s website. On the same date, the Company filed on its website a presentation entitled "Boston Oma…
Why it matters: Looking at Boston Omaha's finances next to Caterpillar and GE shows if it is doing well.
Watch forBoston Omaha's insight score is above -5.0, better than peers like Boeing.
Also watch forBoston Omaha's insight score is below -10.0, worse than its peers.
Why it matters: Better operating income shows good cost management. It also means the company is running well.
Supportive ifOperating income is improving. It is moving from a loss to breakeven or profit.
Worry ifOperating income keeps going down or stays negative.
Why it matters: Completing the sale can improve cash flow and lower debts. This affects future work.
Supportive ifThe sale of GIG is about $84.3 million.
Worry ifThe sale does not close by the end of 2026 or faces significant delays.
Why it matters: Closing this sale is key to improving cash flow and reducing losses. It could strengthen the balance sheet.
Supportive ifThe sale closes and Boston Omaha receives the $84.3 million in cash.
Worry ifThe sale is delayed or fails to close due to regulatory issues.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$119 on $10,000 · ±1.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $269 loss on $10,000 · 2.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,145 loss on $10,000 · 21.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Closing the sale could give cash for new investments or buying back shares.
Supportive ifThe sale of General Indemnity Group to CopperPoint will close by year-end 2026.
Worry ifThe sale is delayed or fails to close by year-end 2026.
Why it matters: Better operating income means the company is managing costs and growing revenue. This helps future profits.
Supportive ifQ2 operating income is better than $(2.2) million from Q1 2026.
Worry ifQ2 operating income keeps falling or stays below $(2.2) million.
Why it matters: Higher operating income means the company is cutting costs. This may show a recovery.
Supportive ifQ3 operating income shows improvement from a net loss of $(0.6M) in Q2 to a loss less than $(0.5M).
Worry ifQ3 operating income continues to decline or remains at a loss worse than $(0.6M).
Why it matters: The sale will impact Boston Omaha's cash flow and reduce liabilities. It could improve the company's financial health.
Supportive ifThe deal closes. Regulatory approvals will be received by the end of 2026.
Worry ifThe sale is delayed or blocked. This is due to regulatory issues or other conditions.
Why it matters: Good cash flow means better finances. It helps with future investments.
Supportive ifQ3 cash from operations is over $5M.
Worry ifQ3 cash from operating activities falls below $5M.
Why it matters: New debt could affect financial stability and cash flow. Investors need to assess the impact.
Worry ifDebt from USDA funding is managed well and does not add financial strain.
Less concerning ifDebt leads to cash flow issues or higher operational costs.
Why it matters: If the industrial sector grows faster, it could help Boston Omaha do better.
Supportive ifRevenue growth in the industrial sector exceeds 5% year over year.
Worry ifRevenue growth in the industrial sector slows below 3% year over year.
Why it matters: The sale may change Boston Omaha's finances and future plans.
Watch forThe sale to CopperPoint Insurance Company is done.
Also watch forThe sale agreement is delayed or canceled.
Why it matters: Reaching the repurchase target shows confidence in the company's value and supports share price.
Supportive ifTotal share repurchases reach or exceed $30M by the end of 2026.
Worry ifTotal share repurchases remain below $20M by the end of 2026.
Why it matters: More cash flow shows better efficiency and financial stability. It helps with ongoing investments.
Supportive ifCash from operations rises above $5.8 million in Q3 2026.
Worry ifCash from operations falls below $5.8 million in Q3 2026.