Expectations trend
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
DMC Global, Inc. (BOOM)
NASDAQIndustrialsOil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$7.05-10.70%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsOil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.
Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days
0.43 → 0.52 EPS · FY ending Dec 31, 2027 · 1 analyst
One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.
Change in the same fiscal period’s mean EPS estimate from Oct 5, 2026 to Nov 4, 2026: (new ÷ prior − 1). Contributor count changed from 1 to 1; this is not the number of analysts revising. The ±10% axis is a display range.
The EPS and P/E reference is not available for BOOM yet.
| Measure / period | Management expectations | Analyst expectations |
|---|
Management figures unavailable.
Current consensus figures unavailable.
Three published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.
| Key Factor | Why It Matters | Current Status | Break Condition | Latest Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Adjusted EBITDA of $6M to $8M in Q2 2026 | It targets $6M to $8M adjusted EBITDA in the same quarter. | Intact | Adjusted EBITDA falls below $6M in Q2 2026 | Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Date unavailableLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next
No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.
Next earnings date unavailable
Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.
Observed price history; separate from operating scenarios
The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.
This is a high-risk industrial recovery and execution story, not yet a proven durable compounder. The thesis is on watch: recent results and momentum improved, but performance still trails the industry cohort and confidence is medium.
The valuation evidence is mixed: one measure says BOOM is cheap versus peers, while another shows a 20% premium, and the model confidence is low. The expectations gap is negative, which points to limited room for disappointment; the overall priced-in tag is justified, with low measured fragility.
Near term, erratic earnings and a high-miss-rate industry leave meaningful risk around the next report, despite earnings beats in July and October. Across the first and third quarters, revenue and operating income improved, while NobelClad shipments and backlog conversion advanced; however, the business remains loss-making overall, and the evidence does not quantify cost savings.
Over the next few quarters, the thesis depends on continued disciplined execution, stronger shipments, and whether early contributions from adjacent markets grow into meaningful revenue. Guidance cuts would weaken the setup, while continued strength from industrial bellwethers could support sector momentum; misses or lower guidance from those peers could remove that support.
For the next 1 to 3 years, BOOM has signs of operational progress, but losses, sector headwinds, high risk, and inconsistent relative performance keep the long-term thesis uncertain. Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| A supporting condition in DMC Global, Inc.'s published investment case. The stated target is Operating income improves above -$4.08M. |
| Improving |
| Operating income remains below -$4.08M over next year |
Operating income: $14.504M FY2026-Q3; GAAP. Published target: Operating income improves above -$4.08M. Target period is not explicitly aligned with this observation. Oct 27, 202614,504,000 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Revenue of $148M to $158M in Q2 2026 | A primary condition in DMC Global, Inc.'s published investment case. The stated target is $148M to $158M. | Intact | Revenue falls below $148M in Q2 2026 | Revenue: $172.825M FY2026-Q3; GAAP. Published target: $148M to $158M. The stored target says 2026-Q2; this source reports FY2026-Q3. Fiscal/calendar alignment needs review. Oct 27, 2026172,825,000 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.
$0.54 → $0.52 · observed estimates
$0.65B → $0.66B · observed estimates
One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.
| Snapshot | EPS | Revenue | EPS / revenue analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $0.54 | $645,866,670 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-07-25 | $0.54 | $645,866,670 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-07-26 | $0.54 | $645,866,670 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-07-27 | $0.54 | $645,866,670 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-07-28 | $0.54 | $645,866,670 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-07-29 | $0.54 | $648,966,670 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-07-30 | $0.54 | $648,966,670 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-07-31 | $0.54 | $648,966,670 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-01 | $0.55 | $646,966,670 | 1 / 3 |
| 2026-08-02 | $0.55 | $646,966,670 | 1 / 3 |
| 2026-08-03 | $0.55 | $646,966,670 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-04 | $0.55 | $646,966,670 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-05 | $0.43 | $656,900,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-06 | $0.43 | $656,900,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-07 | $0.42 | $646,966,667 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-08 | $0.43 | $656,900,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-09 | $0.43 | $656,900,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-10 | $0.43 | $656,900,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-11 | $0.42 | $646,966,667 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-12 | $0.43 | $656,900,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-13 | $0.42 | $646,966,667 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-14 | $0.42 | $646,966,667 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-15 | $0.42 | $646,966,667 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-16 | $0.42 | $646,966,667 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-17 | $0.42 | $646,966,667 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-18 | $0.42 | $646,966,667 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-19 | $0.42 | $646,966,667 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-20 | $0.36 | $656,900,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-21 | $0.36 | $656,900,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-22 | $0.36 | $656,900,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-23 | $0.36 | $656,900,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-24 | $0.36 | $656,900,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-25 | $0.36 | $656,900,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-26 | $0.36 | $656,900,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-27 | $0.36 | $656,900,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-28 | $0.36 | $656,900,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-29 | $0.36 | $656,900,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-30 | $0.36 | $656,900,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-31 | $0.36 | $656,900,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-01 | $0.36 | $656,900,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-02 | $0.36 | $656,900,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-03 | $0.36 | $656,900,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-04 | $0.36 | $656,900,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-05 | $0.36 | $656,900,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-06 | $0.36 | $656,900,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-07 | $0.36 | $656,900,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-08 | $0.36 | $656,900,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-09 | $0.36 | $656,900,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-10 | $0.36 | $656,900,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-11 | $0.36 | $656,900,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-12 | $0.36 | $656,900,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-13 | $0.36 | $656,900,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-14 | $0.36 | $656,900,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-15 | $0.36 | $656,900,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-16 | $0.36 | $656,900,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-17 | $0.36 | $656,900,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-18 | $0.36 | $656,900,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-19 | $0.36 | $656,900,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-20 | $0.43 | $653,500,000 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-21 | $0.43 | $653,500,000 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-22 | $0.43 | $653,500,000 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-23 | $0.43 | $653,500,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-24 | $0.43 | $653,500,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-25 | $0.43 | $653,500,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-26 | $0.43 | $653,500,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-27 | $0.43 | $653,500,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-28 | $0.43 | $653,500,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-29 | $0.43 | $653,500,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-30 | $0.43 | $653,500,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-01 | $0.43 | $653,500,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-02 | $0.43 | $653,500,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-03 | $0.43 | $653,500,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-04 | $0.43 | $653,500,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-05 | $0.43 | $653,500,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-06 | $0.43 | $653,500,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-07 | $0.43 | $653,500,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-08 | $0.43 | $653,500,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-09 | $0.43 | $653,500,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-10 | $0.43 | $653,500,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-11 | $0.43 | $653,500,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-12 | $0.43 | $653,500,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-13 | $0.43 | $653,500,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-14 | $0.43 | $653,500,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-15 | $0.43 | $653,500,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-16 | $0.43 | $653,500,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-17 | $0.43 | $653,500,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-18 | $0.43 | $653,500,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-19 | $0.43 | $653,500,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-20 | $0.43 | $653,500,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-21 | $0.43 | $653,500,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-22 | $0.43 | $653,500,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-23 | $0.43 | $653,500,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-24 | $0.43 | $653,500,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-25 | $0.43 | $653,500,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-26 | $0.43 | $653,500,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-27 | $0.43 | $653,500,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-28 | $0.43 | $653,500,000 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-29 | $0.52 | $663,177,225 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-30 | $0.52 | $663,177,225 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-10-31 | $0.52 | $663,177,225 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-11-01 | $0.52 | $663,177,225 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-11-02 | $0.52 | $663,177,225 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-11-03 | $0.52 | $663,177,225 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-11-04 | $0.52 | $663,177,225 | 1 / 2 |
Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.
Latest: 1 Buy / Strong Buy · 1 Hold · 0 Sell / Strong Sell
Recent actions · Oct 6–Nov 4 · 0 recorded
Individual price-target observations are unavailable.
0 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 0 without a comparable prior
Oct 6, 2026–Nov 4, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.
3 of 3 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.
The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.