Brady Corporation (BRC)
NYSEIndustrialsSecurity & Protection ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$90.21-0.14%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsSecurity & Protection ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · BRC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is still in the top half of its industry but slipped notably this past month — worth watching.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 9.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 35.7% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 26.2 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 10 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
BRC — dividend update
Dated 2026-09-03
OTHER EVENTS Increase in Annual Dividend On September 1, 2026, the Company's Board of Directors approved an increase in the annual cash dividend on its Class A Common Stock from $0.98 to $1.00 per share. A quarterly dividend in the amount of $0.25 per share will be paid on October 30, 2026 to shareholders of record as of the close of business on October 9, 2026. A copy of the press release regarding the dividend is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.2 and is incorporated herein by reference.
Why it matters: Strong cash flow supports growth plans. It also helps shareholder returns.
Supportive ifCash flow from operations exceeds $80 million in Q4 2026.
Worry ifCash flow from operations drops below $70 million in Q4 2026.
Why it matters: Closing the PSS deal is important for Brady's growth and market reach.
Supportive ifThe deal will close on time in the second half of 2026 with all approvals.
Worry ifThe deal is delayed or canceled. This is due to regulatory problems or other issues.
Why it matters: If EPS growth is below 18.1%, it raises concerns about the acquisition's success and organic growth.
Worry ifIn fiscal 2027, Adjusted Diluted EPS growth is below 18.1% compared to 2026.
Less concerning ifIn fiscal 2027, Adjusted Diluted EPS growth is above 27.6% compared to 2026.
Why it matters: New leaders can change the company's strategy. This can affect how investors trust the company.
Watch forThe new CEO, Vineet Nargolwala, starts key initiatives in the first few months.
Also watch forLeadership problems occur or the new CEO's strategy meets strong resistance.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$98 on $10,000 · ±1.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $236 loss on $10,000 · 2.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,612 loss on $10,000 · 26.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Updates on net cash will show how well Brady manages its money after the acquisition.
Worry ifNet cash will be over $140 million after the acquisition closes.
Less concerning ifNet cash will be under $140 million after the acquisition closes.
Why it matters: Lower growth in the IDS segment may show weak demand. This can hurt overall performance.
Worry ifOrganic revenue growth from the IDS segment reported below 5% for fiscal 2027.
Less concerning ifOrganic revenue growth from the IDS segment exceeds 5% for fiscal 2027.
Why it matters: If integration is successful, Brady could save $25 million in costs.
Supportive ifManagement says they will save at least $10 million in costs in the first year.
Worry ifIf there are integration problems, no cost savings will be reported in the first year.
Why it matters: Steady organic growth shows strong demand and good integration of the new business.
Supportive ifOrganic sales growth stays above 8% in the next quarters.
Worry ifOrganic sales growth drops below 4%. This shows possible market or integration issues.
Why it matters: Watching this ratio shows how well the company is doing after the acquisition.
Worry ifNet debt-to-EBITDA ratio improves to below 2.0x in two years.
Less concerning ifRatio stays above 2.5x. This shows possible financial stress from the acquisition.