Brady Corporation (BRC)
NYSEIndustrialsSecurity & Protection ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-05
$79.79-3.68%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsSecurity & Protection ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · BRC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 1.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 40.6% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 38.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 7 industry peers
BRC — M&A activity — CHANGES IN CONTROL OF REGISTRANT The information set forth in
Dated 2026-11-05
CHANGES IN CONTROL OF REGISTRANT The information set forth in
Why it matters: IPS adds a large new business to Brady. Sales below the stated mark would weaken the case for the deal's growth contribution.
Worry ifFY2027 IPS revenue is below $1.15 billion, or Brady lowers its stated revenue estimate.
Less concerning ifFY2027 IPS revenue reaches or exceeds $1.15 billion.
Why it matters: Brady tied IPS profit to a low-double-digit margin. A lower result could cut the earnings added by the acquisition.
Worry ifIPS segment profit as a share of sales falls below 10% in FY2027.
Less concerning ifIPS segment profit as a share of sales is at least 10% in FY2027.
Why it matters: Brady's current business has a 5% organic growth goal. The next earnings report can show whether it is holding up during a slower industrial cycle.
Watch forThe November 16 earnings report shows IDS organic sales growth above 5%.
Also watch forThe November 16 earnings report shows IDS organic sales growth below 5%.
Why it matters: The deal added debt, and Brady set a two-year target to lower it. Meeting the target would show progress on its balance sheet plan.
Supportive ifBrady reports net debt to EBITDA below 2.0 times by August 3, 2028.
Worry ifBrady reports net debt to EBITDA at or above 2.0 times after August 3, 2028, or raises its target.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$78 on $10,000 · ±0.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $243 loss on $10,000 · 2.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,612 loss on $10,000 · 26.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Brady set a $25 million annual savings goal within three years. Reaching it would show that the deal is delivering planned savings.
Supportive ifBrady reports at least $25 million in annual cost savings from the deal within three years of its August 3, 2026 close.
Worry ifBrady reports less than $25 million in annual cost savings by August 3, 2029, or says the goal is delayed.
Why it matters: Brady set a $6.25 to $6.75 adjusted EPS range. A result below the low end would miss its stated growth plan.
Worry ifFY2027 adjusted diluted EPS comes in below $6.25, or Brady cuts its $6.25 to $6.75 range.
Less concerning ifFY2027 adjusted diluted EPS reaches at least $6.25 and the company keeps its range.