Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. (BRCB)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryRestaurantsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$9.58+1.91%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryRestaurantsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · BRCB
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $9.58 BRCB trades at 7.8× p/e, below its 17× p/e peer median, but our blended $9.47 fair value is roughly in line with the price. We hold it with medium confidence: the peer anchor overstates how cheap it looks and quality doesn't explain valuation multiples in this sub-industry, so the peer comparison is a weak guide. Analysts target $9.00–$15. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $10.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| graham number | 12M | $11.91 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $9.11 | 11.1 | 0.80 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $5.51 | 21.5 | 0.26 | ntm analyst | high |
| Peer P/S |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
$9.00 – $15.00 (median $10.00) · 5 analysts · as of 2026-08-24
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Richer than its own typical valuation.
| 12M |
| $9.69 |
| 0.9 |
| 10.54 |
| TTM |
| high |
| residual income | 12M | $7.79 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $8.63 | 7.1 | 1.22 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $20.28 | 16.9 | 1.20 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $7.23 | 21.5 | 0.34 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $17.33 | 0.9 | 18.85 | guidance | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $9.48 | 21.5 | 0.44 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $22.72 | 0.9 | 24.72 | guidance | medium |