Barnwell Industries Inc (BRN)
AMEXEnergyOil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSnapshot 2026-11-05
AMEXEnergyOil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · BRN
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -42.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -11.3% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 31.6 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of —
BRN — divestiture
Dated 2026-10-06
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On October 5, 2026, Barnwell Industries, Inc., a Delaware corporation (the “Company” or “Vendor”), entered into a Share Purchase and Sale Agreement (the “Purchase Agreement”) with 2798913 Alberta Ltd., an Alberta corporation (the “Purchaser”). Under the Purchase Agreement, the Company has agreed to sell its Canadian oil and natural gas business to the Purchaser (the “Transaction”), on the terms and subject to the conditions described below. All doll…
Why it matters: Sale proceeds go to Barnwell, not directly to shareholders. A stated use of the cash would show how the company plans to build value after the sale.
Watch forBarnwell states in a company filing how it will use the sale cash. This could be for a new deal or a payment to shareholders.
Also watch forBarnwell reports no plan for the proceeds after closing, or uses them without naming a clear purpose.
Why it matters: Oil and gas operating results rose to $757,000 in the latest quarter. Another positive result would support the recent gains in production and costs.
Supportive ifThe December 18, 2026 earnings release reports positive oil and gas results. Production is at least 82,000 BOE.
Worry ifThe release reports negative oil and gas results or production under 75,000 BOE.
Why it matters: Management says it is exploring deals beyond energy, but no broader deal is announced in the supplied updates. A signed deal would test this growth plan.
Watch forBarnwell announces a signed merger or acquisition. It names the target and the deal terms.
Also watch forAfter the Canadian sale closes, Barnwell reports no signed broader deal or says it has ended the search.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$198 on $10,000 · ±2.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $568 loss on $10,000 · 5.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,411 loss on $10,000 · 34.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.