BTCS Inc (BTCS)
NASDAQFinancialsFinancial - Capital MarketsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$1.04+4.56%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQFinancialsFinancial - Capital MarketsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · BTCS
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -6.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 6.9% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 13.6 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name has erratic recent earnings surprises and is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate). A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 15 industry peers
BTCS — capital allocation — Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balan…
Dated 2026-08-25
Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant. As previously disclosed, on May 15, 2026, the Board of Directors of BTCS Inc. (the “Company”) approved a maximum permitted loan-to-value ratio (“LTV”) of 50% (the “LTV Cap”) applicable to the Company’s borrowings under the AAVE protocol, a decentralized finance lending protocol (the “AAVE Protocol”), and removed all other restrictions on the amount that may be borrowed under the…
Why it matters: BTCS set a 50% cap on loan value for AAVE borrowing. A breach would raise concern about its debt and collateral risk.
Worry ifA filing reports AAVE loan-to-value above 50%, or a breach of the cap.
Less concerning ifA filing shows AAVE loan-to-value at or below 50%, with no cap breach reported.
Why it matters: Gross margin rose from 47% in Q1 to 61% in Q2. A higher margin would show that this gain continued.
Supportive ifBTCS reports Q3 gross margin above 61%.
Worry ifBTCS reports Q3 gross margin at or below 61%.
Why it matters: BTCS set a $6 million gross profit goal for 2026. Q2 brought the year-to-date total to $2.5 million.
Supportive ifFull-year 2026 gross profit is at least $6 million.
Worry ifFull-year 2026 gross profit is below $6 million.
Why it matters: BTCS cut debt from $74.8 million in Q1 to $50.4 million in Q2. Further cuts would extend that trend.
Supportive ifBTCS reports total debt below $50.4 million at the end of Q3.
Worry ifBTCS reports total debt at or above $50.4 million at the end of Q3.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$301 on $10,000 · ±3.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $877 loss on $10,000 · 8.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $7,283 loss on $10,000 · 72.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Imperium brought in $1.5 million in Q2 and drove most revenue. More growth would support the plan to scale it.
Supportive ifBTCS reports Q3 Imperium revenue above $1.5 million, up from Q2.
Worry ifBTCS reports Q3 Imperium revenue at or below $1.5 million.