Burlington Stores (BURL)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - RetailSnapshot 2026-09-04
$265.33+2.62%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - RetailSnapshot 2026-09-04
Research Workspace
Put BURL beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Apparel Retail: structurally weak cohort (structural / late-cycle), so the cyclical early-warning is suppressed.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Achieve EPS near $11.62 in fiscal 2027: FY27 EPS guidance $11.45-$11.80 vs target $11.45.
View ThesisManagement screens strong on capital allocation, earnings delivery, the balance sheet.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskBurlington Stores must maintain strong growth to justify its current price. The company recently beat earnings expectations, with adjusted EPS of $2.37. Revenue grew 11% year over year, but it slightly missed estimates. The stock trades at 23 times earnings, above the peer median of 16 times. This suggests the price reflects modest growth expectations compared to our view. If Burlington cuts guidance, it could face significant downward pressure. The thesis is on watch due to recent price declines and growth concerns. Peer multiples imply a price roughly in line with where it trades; this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-04. BURL is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 19 analysts currently covering BURL (as of Sep 2026).
Based on 10 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for BURL in the last 4 months.
Continue this research
Compare BURL with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
Free account required to save the handoff. No credit card.
| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BURL Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 9 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Apparel Retail — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put BURL next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Threatens: Expand store footprint with net new store openings
Store relocation may hinder expansion plans in South Jersey.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-04. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $265.33
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $265.33.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Increase revenue growth
Reinvesting tariff refund can enhance revenue growth.
Advances: Improve operating income and margin expansion
Margin expansion aligns with improving operating income and margins.
Threatens: Enhance net income and earnings per share growth
Share price decline despite earnings growth raises concerns.
Threatens: Increase revenue growth
Sales below estimates indicate potential revenue growth issues.
Advances: Improve operating income and margin expansion
Using tariff refunds to lower prices enhances margins.
Threatens: Increase revenue growth
Stock drop on revenue miss signals growth concerns.
Threatens: Increase revenue growth
Mixed results and outlook raise growth concerns.
