Burlington Stores (BURL)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - RetailSnapshot 2026-11-04
$258.38+7.70%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - RetailSnapshot 2026-11-04
Research Workspace
Put BURL beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Apparel Retail is in recovery. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Achieve EPS near $11.62 in fiscal 2027: Direct metric needs a verified mapping.
View ThesisManagement screens strong on capital allocation, earnings delivery, the balance sheet.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 1% on a typical day and fell roughly 39% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskBurlington's strong recent performance supports its current valuation. Revenue growth slowed to 11% in the latest quarter. The company beat earnings expectations by 8.7% recently. It trades at 22 times earnings versus a 16 times peer median. The price reflects less growth than our forecast suggests. The primary pillar is under pressure regarding fiscal 2027 EPS. The thesis comparison is not yet verified. Peer multiples imply a price about 4% below where it trades. The thesis is on watch. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-11-04. BURL is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 19 analysts currently covering BURL (as of Nov 2026).
Based on 9 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for BURL in the last 4 months.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BURL Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-11-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Apparel Retail — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put BURL next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Expand store footprint with net new store openings
Confirms aggressive expansion plans aligning with management's objectives.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-11-04. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $258.38
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $258.38.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Threatens: Expand store footprint with net new store openings
Store relocation may hinder expansion plans in South Jersey.
Advances: Increase revenue growth
Reinvesting tariff refund can enhance revenue growth.
Advances: Improve operating income and margin expansion
Margin expansion aligns with improving operating income and margins.
Threatens: Enhance net income and earnings per share growth
Share price decline despite earnings growth raises concerns.
Threatens: Increase revenue growth
Sales below estimates indicate potential revenue growth issues.
Advances: Improve operating income and margin expansion
Using tariff refunds to lower prices enhances margins.
Threatens: Increase revenue growth
Stock drop on revenue miss signals growth concerns.
