Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc (BW)
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-09-04
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · BW
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -28.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 38.4% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 66.6 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 64 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
BW — dividend update
Dated 2026-06-08
Other Events. On June 8, 2026, the board of directors of Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises, Inc., a Delaware corporation, (the “Company”) approved that the Company declare a dividend of $0.4843750 per share of its outstanding 7.75% Series A Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock (the “Preferred Stock”), with a record date for the dividend of June 20, 2026 and a payment date of June 30, 2026. The Preferred Stock is listed on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol “BW PRA.” Signatures Pursuant t…
Why it matters: Starting this program would show management's trust in the company's value and health.
Supportive ifShare repurchases will start after the Q2 10-Q filing.
Worry ifNo share repurchases initiated by the end of Q3 2026.
Why it matters: A dividend shows trust in cash flow. It also shows a good capital plan.
Supportive ifA dividend payment on preferred stock will be announced in the next quarter.
Worry ifNo dividend declaration occurs by the end of Q3 2026.
Why it matters: A growing backlog shows strong future revenue and demand for B&W's services.
Supportive ifBacklog reported above $2.6 billion in the next quarter.
Worry ifBacklog was below $2.6 billion.
Why it matters: Starting the buyback program shows that management trusts the company's value and health.
Supportive ifShare repurchases will start after the Q2 10-Q filing.
Worry ifNo announcement of share repurchases by the end of Q3.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$391 on $10,000 · ±3.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $1,058 loss on $10,000 · 10.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,870 loss on $10,000 · 68.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Meeting this target would show strong performance and growth.
Supportive ifQ3 Adjusted EBITDA is at or above $80 million.
Worry ifQ3 Adjusted EBITDA is less than $80 million.
Why it matters: Positive updates show success in AI data center projects. These are key for future growth.
Supportive ifUpdates confirm the project is on time and within budget.
Worry ifReports of delays or budget overruns on the Base Electron project.