Broadwind Inc (BWEN)
NASDAQIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-09-04
$4.15+0.97%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · BWEN
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -73.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -25.6% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 47.4 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 64 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
BWEN — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-11
of Form 8-K and shall not be deemed “filed” for the purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”) or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, and shall not be deemed to be incorporated by reference into the filings of the Company under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”) or the Exchange Act regardless of any general incorporation language in such filings. Please refer to Exhibit 99.1 for a discussion of ce…
Why it matters: Strong growth in this segment is key to Broadwind's pivot to precision manufacturing.
Supportive ifIndustrial Solutions revenue grows year over year by more than 70%.
Worry ifIndustrial Solutions revenue growth falls below 50% year over year.
Why it matters: Updates on the exit plan will show where the business is headed. This affects how investors feel.
Watch forManagement announces a clear plan for the exit from the wind market.
Also watch forManagement is late or does not give updates on the exit plan.
Why it matters: Meeting or exceeding this number is crucial to stay on track for full-year guidance.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue reported at $34M or more, indicating progress towards the $140M to $150M target.
Worry ifQ2 revenue is below $34M. This shows trouble in meeting annual revenue goals.
Why it matters: Updates on acquisitions can signal growth and strategic direction. This can impact future revenue.
Watch forBroadwind announces new deals or partnerships that help its business.
Also watch forBroadwind has issues or delays with its recent acquisitions.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$407 on $10,000 · ±4.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $921 loss on $10,000 · 9.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,075 loss on $10,000 · 50.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: This shows that the company is getting better at managing costs and operations.
Supportive ifOperating income in Q2 exceeds $500,000.
Worry ifOperating income is still under $300,000.
Why it matters: Keeping guidance shows confidence in reaching revenue goals. This is true even with changes.
Supportive ifManagement reaffirms full-year 2026 revenue guidance of $140M to $150M.
Worry ifManagement cuts its revenue forecast for the full year 2026.
Why it matters: Earnings results will show revenue growth and efficiency. This is key for future plans.
Watch forEarnings results show revenue growth that meets or exceeds the $140M to $150M guidance.
Also watch forEarnings results do not meet revenue guidance. This shows possible issues.
Why it matters: If revenue growth picks up, it could signal a shift in the industrials sector. This would be important for Broadwind's performance.
Supportive ifThree-year revenue growth in the industrials sector rises back toward 10% or higher.
Worry ifThree-year revenue growth in the industrials sector stays below 5%.
Why it matters: Reaffirming the revenue guidance shows confidence in growth. The target is $140M to $150M.
Supportive ifBroadwind reaffirms its revenue guidance for 2026 at $140M to $150M.
Worry ifBroadwind withdraws or lowers its revenue guidance for 2026.
Why it matters: Better operating income means better cost control. This helps profits grow.
Supportive ifOperating income rises from $389,000 in Q1 2026. This shows positive momentum.
Worry ifOperating income drops or stays below $389,000 in Q2 2026.
Why it matters: More total orders show strong demand and support revenue growth.
Supportive ifTotal orders increase year over year by more than 50%.
Worry ifTotal orders decline or grow less than 20% year over year.
Why it matters: News on acquisitions can show growth and direction. They affect future revenue.
Supportive ifManagement shares news about new partnerships or acquisitions. These help the business grow.
Worry ifThere are no updates or there is bad news about acquisitions or strategy.
Why it matters: Earnings will provide insights into Broadwind's performance and market conditions. This is crucial for understanding its future.
Watch forEarnings report shows revenue growth year over year.
Also watch forEarnings report shows revenue decline year over year.
Why it matters: This growth shows strong demand in key areas. It helps management meet revenue goals.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue growth of 30% or more compared to Q2 2025.
Worry ifQ2 revenue growth below 20% year-over-year.
Why it matters: This revenue shows strong demand. It helps management's growth plan after leaving wind fabrications.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue is at or above $35 million. This shows strong demand in key areas.
Worry ifQ3 revenue is below $30 million. This suggests weak demand and problems in execution.
Why it matters: A strong order book shows ongoing demand. It supports Broadwind's growth story.
Supportive ifTotal orders reported at or above $35 million for Q3.
Worry ifTotal orders are below $30 million. This suggests demand is weakening in key markets.
Why it matters: Better income shows good cost control. It also shows efficiency after the strategic change.
Supportive ifGearing segment made over $0.5 million in operating income in Q3.
Worry ifGearing segment still shows an operating loss or income below $0.2 million.