Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. (BWMN)

NASDAQIndustrialsEngineering & ConstructionSnapshot 2026-09-04

$42.43-0.42%

Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change

QuarterlyIQ Insights · BWMN

Earnings

Next print, the company's guidance track record, and the earnings events we've seen in the last few years.

Next-print lean

At risk

Quarter ending 2026-09-30

Likelihood the company beats analyst consensus on its next print. Read from its own beat history plus how sector peers have been reporting. Not a price-direction call: a serial beater often has the beat already priced in.

Track record

6 of 12

Prints it beat consensus, recent quarters.

Indicative P(beat)

69%

Indicative, not a guarantee. Base rate ~71%.

Peers beating

29% of 7

Industry peers that beat since this name last reported.

Standing guide

—

Management's most recent EPS guidance action.

Why: peers & math

Peer prints since last report

BBCP +10%
AGX +25%
MTRX -5.9%
DY +21.3%
LGN -25%
SLND -25%
CDNL -25%

How the lean is derived

expected = 0.35*own_median(-4.4) + peer(0.2*-5.9) + term(0.0) → -2.73% (capped ±15.0)

Confidence highas of 2026-09-06

Next-print risk

Watch

Quarter ending 2026-09-30

Calibrated likelihood the company misses analyst consensus on its next print, read from its own miss history plus its industry base rate. A fundamental tilt, not a price call — and a quiet watch-flag, not an alarm.

Worth watching into the next print: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.

P(next-Q miss)

41%

Calibrated. Base rate ~24%.

Own miss streak

Consecutive quarters it missed, most recent run.

Industry base

25%

How often this industry misses, baseline.

Peers missing

25% of 32

Industry peers that missed in the recent window.

Confidence highas of 2026-09-04

Next earnings

—

Earnings-day expected move

—

Average absolute move on past earnings days.

Realized vol (30d)

131.4%

Annualized: recent baseline volatility.

Guidance track record

Met or beat

—

Of the last 0 guided quarters.

Avg surprise

—

Actual vs. guided EPS, signed.

Post-call reaction

strong

+1.6%

Excess return vs. sector ETF, day after print.

Earnings events

Earnings prints and pre-announcements detected in the SEC filing stream.

16 shown

2026-08-10earnings miss
BWMN — earnings miss
of this Current Report on Form 8-K (including Exhibit 99.1) shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Exchange Act, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that Section, nor shall it be deemed to be incorporated by reference into any filing of the Company under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “ Securities Act ”), or the Exchange Act, except as expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.
negative
2026-05-05earnings miss
BWMN — earnings miss

Coming next

Quarterly EPS and revenue actuals vs. consensus across the last eight quarters (including beat/miss size and the forward consensus heading into the next print) are on the way.

Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.