Cathay General Bancorp (CATY)
NASDAQFinancialsBanks - RegionalSnapshot 2026-09-04
NASDAQFinancialsBanks - RegionalSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CATY
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 10 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $63 CATY trades at 1.4× p/b, in line with its 1.2× p/b peer median, and our $65 fair value agrees. It's a high-confidence read. Analysts target $53–$66. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $63.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $128.89 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| graham number | 12M | $72.21 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer P/B | 12M | $56.14 | 1.2 | 45.27 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 10% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$53.00 – $66.00 (median $63.00) · 3 analysts · as of 2026-07-27
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Roughly priced in line with peers.
Around its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $91.78 |
| 11.7 |
| 7.87 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $63.23 | 10.9 | 5.80 | ntm analyst | high |
| PEG | 12M | $113.98 | 22.3 | 5.12 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $49.47 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $62.02 | 12.1 | 5.12 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $62.34 | 11.9 | 5.22 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/B | 3Y | $65.72 | 1.2 | 52.99 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $98.03 | 11.7 | 8.40 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $79.32 | 10.9 | 7.28 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $162.11 | 22.3 | 7.28 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $88.20 | 12.1 | 7.28 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/B | 5Y | $72.99 | 1.2 | 58.85 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $102.43 | 11.7 | 8.78 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $100.30 | 10.9 | 9.21 | Analyst | high |
| PEG | 5Y | $204.98 | 22.3 | 9.21 | Analyst | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $111.53 | 12.1 | 9.21 | Analyst | high |