CBL & Associates Properties, Inc. (CBL)
NYSEReal EstateReit - RetailSnapshot 2026-11-05
$47.94-3.54%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReit - RetailSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CBL
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -40.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -0.9% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 39.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 20 industry peers
CBL — capital allocation — Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balan…
Dated 2026-04-02
Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant. On March 27, 2026, CBL & Associates Limited Partnership (the "Operating Partnership"), the majority owned subsidiary of CBL & Associates Properties, Inc. (the "REIT") (the REIT and the Operating Partnership are collectively referred to as the “Company”), as limited guarantor and certain of its subsidiaries, as borrowers, entered into a $176 million floating ‑ rate, non ‑ recourse…
Why it matters: NOI grew 1.5% in Q2, slower than Q1's 2.1%. Another slowdown would test whether rent gains and higher occupancy can keep lifting property income.
Worry ifQ3 same-center NOI growth is below 1.5% year over year.
Less concerning ifQ3 same-center NOI growth is at least 1.5% year over year.
Why it matters: CBL kept its quarterly dividend at $0.625 in Q2 after a 39% increase. Another payment at that level would show cash returns remain in place.
Supportive ifCBL declares and pays a Q4 2026 dividend of at least $0.625 per share.
Worry ifCBL cuts or skips the Q4 2026 dividend below $0.625 per share.
Why it matters: CBL said it and a joint venture partner closed a loan extension in August. The filing gives no loan size or new maturity, so the next update can confirm its terms.
Watch forA company filing names the extended loan and its new maturity date. It confirms the extension closed.
Also watch forA company filing says the extension did not close or reports a missed payment or default on that loan.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$120 on $10,000 · ±1.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $293 loss on $10,000 · 2.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,032 loss on $10,000 · 20.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.