CEREBRAS SYSTEMS INC (CBRS)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$81.71-11.04%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CBRS
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
No current thesis-health read is available for this company.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -70.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | Not available |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A comparable growth gap is not available.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 41 industry peers
Why it matters: Q3 results will test the raised 2026 revenue plan. The prior quarter's core revenue was $210M.
Supportive ifOn November 12, Q3 core revenue is $214M to $216M or higher.
Worry ifOn November 12, Q3 core revenue is below $214M.
Why it matters: The tech sector is still growing, but its growth trend is easing. A sharp slowdown would add to the risk around Cerebras' growth plan.
Worry ifCerebras reports core revenue growth below its prior-year level for two straight quarters.
Less concerning ifCerebras reports core revenue growth above its prior-year level in both quarters.
Why it matters: A margin in this range would support the higher full-year target. A lower result could weaken that case.
Supportive ifQ3 core gross margin is 38% to 40% or higher.
Worry ifQ3 core gross margin is below 38%.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$416 on $10,000 · ±4.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $1,113 loss on $10,000 · 11.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $7,047 loss on $10,000 · 70.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.