Cabot Corp (CBT)
NYSEMaterialsChemicals - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-09-04
$81.48+0.36%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEMaterialsChemicals - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CBT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -9.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 4.2% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 14.1 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 40 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
CBT — debt issuance
Dated 2026-08-21
Other Events. On August 21, 2026, Cabot Corporation (“Cabot”) completed the issuance and sale of $350 million aggregate principal amount of 4.950% senior notes due 2029 (the “Notes”). The offering of the Notes was registered pursuant to an automatically effective shelf registration statement on Form S-3ASR under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (Registration Statement No. 333-276078) (the “Registration Statement”), that was filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on December 1…
Why it matters: A drop in cash flow could mean bigger problems. It may affect how money is spent.
Worry ifCash flow from operations drops below $77 million in the next quarter.
Less concerning ifCash flow from operations stays steady or goes above $77 million.
Why it matters: Hitting or beating this EPS target shows strong performance despite market issues. It shows the company can manage costs and demand well.
Supportive ifAdjusted EPS for Q3 is reported at $1.50 or higher.
Worry ifAdjusted EPS for Q3 falls below $1.50.
Why it matters: Management reaffirmed a full-year Adjusted EPS guidance of $6.00 to $6.50. Q3 results will indicate if they are on track.
Watch forQ3 Adjusted EPS is above $1.50. This supports the full-year guidance.
Also watch forQ3 Adjusted EPS is below $1.50. This shows challenges in meeting guidance.
Why it matters: The new CEO will change Cabot's strategy and operations. Investors will look for changes in performance.
Watch forLook for good performance metrics or new plans from Erica McLaughlin in six months.
Also watch forWatch for poor performance metrics or bad news about the company in six months.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$138 on $10,000 · ±1.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $301 loss on $10,000 · 3.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,794 loss on $10,000 · 27.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: The CEO change could affect the company's direction and how it operates.
Watch forNew CEO Erica McLaughlin puts in place plans that boost performance.
Also watch forA leadership change causes problems or drops in performance.
Why it matters: Strong cash flow helps with capital use and returns to shareholders. Weak cash flow may slow growth.
Supportive ifOperating cash flow exceeds $100 million in Q3.
Worry ifOperating cash flow drops below $70 million in Q3.
Why it matters: Better cash flow shows the company is more efficient and financially healthy.
Supportive ifCash flow from operations increases to above $126 million in the next quarter.
Worry ifCash flow from operations drops below $77 million.
Why it matters: A change in guidance could signal how well Cabot is managing costs and demand.
Watch forManagement raises or lowers the Adjusted EPS guidance for fiscal 2026 beyond $6.15 to $6.45.
Also watch forManagement keeps the guidance the same. There are no changes or updates.
Why it matters: Management wants to improve manufacturing. This could save a lot of money.
Supportive ifLook for news of closed assets or improvements that lead to $22 million in savings.
Worry ifWatch for delays in asset plans that lead to no savings.
Why it matters: Trends in EBIT will show if the segment can bounce back. This affects overall profits.
Watch forReinforcement Materials EBIT goes up from one quarter to the next.
Also watch forReinforcement Materials EBIT keeps going down from one quarter to the next.
Why it matters: Better asset use could make operations more efficient. This may help long-term growth.
Supportive ifManagement says fixed cost savings are about $22 million from better asset use.
Worry ifNo news on cost savings or delays in asset use plans.
Why it matters: The Battery Materials segment is a key growth area. Strong performance here could drive overall company growth.
Supportive ifEBIT from Battery Materials is growing and is better than last quarter.
Worry ifEBIT from Battery Materials is dropping. It is not growing like in past quarters.
Why it matters: Progress here could lead to significant cost savings and improved margins.
Supportive ifManagement says it saved at least $10 million each year from asset changes.
Worry ifNo progress or savings from asset changes is reported in the next quarter.