Reading CELC? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track CELC free→Reading CELC? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track CELC free→
NASDAQHealth CareBiotechnologySnapshot 2026-06-12
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak, and management's recent track record has been unsteady, with frequent disruptive corporate changes. The company was unprofitable over the past year, so its earnings quality can't be assessed. Risk is elevated, and the sector backdrop is a headwind, which may impact future growth. If CELC cuts guidance on the next call, that could lead to a meaningful negative shift, while improvements in sector trends could provide some support. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 0 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $88.55. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Not enough valuation methods to set a 12-month read yet.
Not enough peers to compare yet.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Health Care names rated weak grew net income 55% of the time over the next year (vs 54% for the rest of the cohort, n=2391).
Over the trailing year it converted 0.89x of net income into operating cash flow.
Not enough signal yet.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, the broad stock market, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity.
4 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by capital-allocation actions. Historically, Health Care names rated volatile grew net income 43% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=600).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $-1.01 → $-0.98 (+3.0% / 30d). 0 raised, 0 cut, 2 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 6 maintained. 100% of analysts rate Buy.
7 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 55.4% above current price.
1 positive, 2 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.
Transition story with positive analyst positioning (often a turnaround setup).
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$225.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$629.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $3,970.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-12
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
No named catalysts to watch right now. Check back after the next earnings report.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for CELC yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On June 3, 2026, Celcuity Inc. (the “Company”) entered into an underwriting agreement (the “Underwriting Agreement”) with Jefferies LLC, J.P. Morgan Securities LLC, TD Securities (USA) LLC and Guggenheim Securities, LLC, as representatives of the several underwriters named therein (collectively, the “Underwriters”), agreeing, subject to customary conditions, to issue and sell in a public offering $500,000,000 aggregate principal amount of the Compan…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
No score history yet for this stock.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Biotechnology.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
CELC Celcuity, Inc. | — | — | elevated |
ABBV AbbVie | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 79 of 100 | full | low |
AMGN Amgen | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 75 of 100 | full | moderate |
GILD Gilead Sciences | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 96 of 100 | fair | moderate |
VRTX Vertex Pharmaceuticals | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 82 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-12.
via XLV
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-12.
Celcuity aims to launch gedatolisib commercially, pending FDA approval, in the third quarter of 2026.
Celcuity plans to finance its operations through 2027 using cash, cash equivalents, investments, and debt facility drawdowns.
Celcuity announced a share buyback program as part of its capital allocation strategy.
Celcuity announced a $500 million debt issuance to manage capital allocation effectively.
Celcuity completed a voluntary prepayment to terminate a material definitive agreement.
Termination of a Material Definitive Agreement On June 8, 2026, the Company completed a voluntary prepayment of all outstanding principal, accrued and unpaid interest, fees, costs and expenses, equal to approximately $[137.5 million] in the aggregate (the “Payoff Amount”), under that certain Amended and Restated Loan and Security Agreement, dated as of May 30, 2024, by and among the Company, as borrower, Oxford Finance LLC, a Delaware limited liability company (“Oxford”), as collateral agent…
C reation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant. The disclosure set forth in
Other Events. Press Release – Launch of Offering On June 3, 2026, the Company issued a press release announcing that it had launched the Offering. A copy of this press release is filed as Exhibit 99.1 hereto and is incorporated herein by reference. Press Release – Pricing of Notes Offering On June 3, 2026, the Company issued a press release announcing that it priced the Offering to issue and sell $500 million aggregate principal amount of 0.250% Convertible Senior Notes due 2032. A copy of th…