CEVA, Inc. (CEVA)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$24.56-12.35%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CEVA
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 98.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 22.4% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 76.1 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 41 industry peers
CEVA — COO transition
Dated 2026-07-13
Chief Operating Officer — Michael Boukaya: Mr. Boukaya mutually agreed to resign from his position as Chief Operating Officer.
Why it matters: Q2 revenue grew 13% from a year earlier. A fall below Q2's level would put the growth trend to a clear test.
Worry ifQ3 total revenue is below $29.0 million, the Q2 level.
Less concerning ifQ3 total revenue is at least $29.0 million and remains above the year-earlier level.
Why it matters: Royalties rose 17% from Q1 to Q2, with help from connectivity and auto AI shipments. A drop could weaken that trend.
Worry ifQ3 royalty revenue is below $10.8 million, the Q2 level.
Less concerning ifQ3 royalty revenue is at least $10.8 million and rises from Q2.
Why it matters: Q2 licensing revenue reached a three-year high. Another rise would show that new AI and connectivity deals keep adding revenue.
Supportive ifIn the November 9, 2026 earnings release, licensing and related revenue is above $18.2 million. It is up from Q2.
Worry ifLicensing and related revenue is below $18.2 million in Q3.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$338 on $10,000 · ±3.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $706 loss on $10,000 · 7.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,760 loss on $10,000 · 47.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.