Charter Communications (CHTR)
NASDAQCommunication ServicesTelecommunications ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-05
$125.86+4.67%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQCommunication ServicesTelecommunications ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CHTR
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -65.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -1.3% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 63.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 11 industry peers
CHTR — dividend update
Dated 2026-10-27
REGULATION FD DISCLOSURE. On October 27, 2026, the Company issued a press release (the “press release”) announcing that its board of directors declared a quarterly cash dividend which will be payable on January 15, 2027 to stockholders of record of the Company’s Series A Cumulative Redeemable Preferred Stock at the close of business on December 31, 2026. The full text of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated by reference into this
Why it matters: Internet customers fell by 172,000 in Q2. A larger Q3 loss would deepen pressure on customer and revenue trends.
Worry ifQ3 results show internet customers down by more than 172,000 for the quarter.
Less concerning ifQ3 internet customer losses are below 172,000, or the customer count grows.
Why it matters: Video losses slowed to 21,000 in Q2 from 80,000 a year earlier. A return to larger losses would weaken signs that new packages are helping.
Worry ifQ3 results show more than 21,000 fewer video customers for the quarter.
Less concerning ifQ3 video customer losses are 21,000 or fewer, or the customer count grows.
Why it matters: Adjusted EBITDA fell 4.3% in Q2. A steeper drop would point to more pressure from lower revenue and Cox transition costs.
Worry ifQ3 adjusted EBITDA is down more than 4.3% year over year.
Less concerning ifQ3 adjusted EBITDA is flat or higher year over year, or its decline is smaller than 4.3%.
Why it matters: Mobile lines grew by 406,000 in Q2, but adds were lower than a year earlier. Faster growth would support Charter's mobile expansion priority.
Supportive ifQ3 results report more than 406,000 net mobile line adds.
Worry ifQ3 results report 406,000 or fewer net mobile line adds.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$255 on $10,000 · ±2.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $488 loss on $10,000 · 4.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,883 loss on $10,000 · 58.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.