Colgate-Palmolive (CL)
NYSEConsumer StaplesHousehold & Personal ProductsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$98.76+3.28%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer StaplesHousehold & Personal ProductsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CL
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 21.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 2.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 19.4 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 8 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
CL — strategy / product update — Costs Associated with Exit or Disposal Activities
Dated 2026-05-01
Costs Associated with Exit or Disposal Activities. As previously disclosed, on July 31, 2025, the Company’s Board of Directors (“Board”) approved a three-year productivity program to drive future growth and support the Company’s 2030 strategy (the “Strategic Growth and Productivity Program”). The program includes initiatives to better align the Company’s organizational structure to support its strategic initiatives, optimize the Company’s global supply chain to drive agility and efficiencies…
Why it matters: Management raised its full-year margin outlook to growth. A higher Q4 margin would support that change.
Supportive ifQ4 gross profit margin is higher than a year ago. This matches management's outlook for a higher full-year margin.
Worry ifQ4 gross profit margin is flat or lower than a year ago. Or management changes its full-year outlook back to flat or down.
Why it matters: Q3 organic sales grew 3.6%, and management now sees full-year growth near the nine-month pace. This tests the raised outlook.
Supportive ifFull-year 2026 organic sales growth is at or above 3.0%, within the prior nine-month range and near Q3's 3.6%.
Worry ifFull-year organic sales growth is below 3.0%. Or management cuts its outlook from growth near the nine-month pace.
Why it matters: Colgate reported leading shares in both categories. Stable or higher shares would support its brand strength.
Supportive ifThe next reported global year-to-date share is at least 41.4% for toothpaste and 33.1% for manual toothbrushes.
Worry ifReported share falls below 41.4% for toothpaste or below 33.1% for manual toothbrushes.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$105 on $10,000 · ±1.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $215 loss on $10,000 · 2.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,696 loss on $10,000 · 17.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.