Colgate-Palmolive (CL)
NYSEConsumer StaplesHousehold & Personal ProductsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$88.77-1.47%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer StaplesHousehold & Personal ProductsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CL
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 8.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 3.8% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 5.2 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 18 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
CL — strategy / product update — Costs Associated with Exit or Disposal Activities
Dated 2026-05-01
Costs Associated with Exit or Disposal Activities. As previously disclosed, on July 31, 2025, the Company’s Board of Directors (“Board”) approved a three-year productivity program to drive future growth and support the Company’s 2030 strategy (the “Strategic Growth and Productivity Program”). The program includes initiatives to better align the Company’s organizational structure to support its strategic initiatives, optimize the Company’s global supply chain to drive agility and efficiencies…
Why it matters: A lower EPS shows ongoing problems and affects investor trust.
Worry ifQ2 EPS reported below $0.80.
Less concerning ifQ2 EPS reported above $0.90.
Why it matters: A bigger drop would mean lower profits and could hurt earnings.
Worry ifGross profit margin declines more than 20 basis points compared to Q1.
Less concerning ifGross profit margin remains stable or improves.
Why it matters: Ongoing drops in North America may mean losing market share or facing competition. This is important for overall performance.
Worry ifNorth America sales growth was worse than -3% for two straight quarters.
Less concerning ifNorth America sales growth was better than -3% for two straight quarters.
Why it matters: Revenue growth is crucial for the company's health. Falling below 2% signals potential issues.
Worry ifQ2 revenue growth reported below 2%.
Less concerning ifQ2 revenue growth reported above 6%.
Why it matters: A drop would indicate increased competition and potential loss of brand strength.
Worry ifToothpaste market share reported below 41%.
Less concerning ifToothpaste market share remains at or above 41%.
Why it matters: A decline means costs are going up or prices are rising. This affects profits.
Worry ifManagement lowers gross profit margin guidance from flat.
Less concerning ifManagement keeps or raises gross profit margin guidance.
Why it matters: A fall in gross profit margin may mean rising costs or pricing pressures.
Worry ifQ3 gross profit margin reported below 60%.
Less concerning ifQ3 gross profit margin reported at or above 60%.
Why it matters: This shows that sales are slowing down. This could affect future guidance.
Worry ifQ3 organic sales growth was less than 1%.
Less concerning ifQ3 organic sales growth was more than 1%.
Why it matters: More growth shows that management cares about long-term success. It also means better efficiency.
Supportive ifNew projects will be shared for the Strategic Growth and Productivity Program.
Worry ifNo new projects announced or program scope remains unchanged.
Why it matters: More money spent on ads could help the brand and boost sales. This fits the long-term plan.
Supportive ifAd spending went up over 15% from the last quarter.
Worry ifAd spending was below a 15% increase from the last quarter.
Why it matters: A steady gross profit margin backs management's plans. It shows they manage costs well.
Supportive ifGross profit margin reported flat compared to previous guidance for Q3 2026.
Worry ifGross profit margin reported down compared to previous guidance for Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Progress on this program is key to driving future growth and cost savings.
Supportive ifManagement says there is good progress or savings from the program.
Worry ifManagement reports delays or problems with the program.
Why it matters: Updates on this program will show if the company is on track to achieve projected savings.
Watch forManagement shares updates showing total savings of $200M to $300M each year.
Also watch forThere are no updates or bad news about the savings from the program.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$105 on $10,000 · ±1.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $219 loss on $10,000 · 2.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,696 loss on $10,000 · 17.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.