Clarus Corp. (CLAR)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryLeisureSnapshot 2026-11-05
$4.25-3.85%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryLeisureSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CLAR
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -32.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 1.7% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 34.2 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 6 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
Why it matters: Clarus guided to Q3 sales of $66 million to $68 million. A miss would put the $245 million to $255 million full-year goal at risk.
Worry ifQ3 sales come in below $66 million, or Clarus cuts its full-year sales range below $245 million to $255 million.
Less concerning ifQ3 sales reach at least $66 million and Clarus keeps its full-year sales range at $245 million to $255 million.
Why it matters: Clarus raised its full-year free cash flow goal to $6 million. Q2 free cash flow was only $0.6 million, making later results key.
Worry ifClarus reports 2026 free cash flow below $6 million or cuts its full-year goal below $6 million.
Less concerning ifClarus reports 2026 free cash flow of at least $6 million and keeps the stated goal.
Why it matters: Outdoor sales grew 8.5% in Q2. Clarus tied that result to its focus on top products and less discounting.
Worry ifOutdoor sales are flat or lower year over year in a reported quarter.
Less concerning ifOutdoor sales grow year over year, with growth in Mountain, Climb, or Apparel.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$155 on $10,000 · ±1.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $399 loss on $10,000 · 4.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,336 loss on $10,000 · 33.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.