Climb Global Solutions, Inc. (CLMB)
NASDAQInformation TechnologyTechnology DistributorsSnapshot 2026-11-05
$39.85-7.43%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologyTechnology DistributorsSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CLMB
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -7.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 6.9% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 14.2 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 3 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
CLMB — director transition
Dated 2026-06-25
Director and Nominating and Corporate Governance Committee Chair — Peter Bell: The company increased the size of its board and appointed Peter Bell as a new director and Nominating and Corporate Governance Committee chair.
Why it matters: Climb paid about $18 million for NeoVAD. The deal adds about 300 active resellers in France.
Watch forClimb says NeoVAD added to earnings and adjusted EBITDA. It also kept key staff, vendors, and reseller ties.
Also watch forClimb reports NeoVAD did not add to earnings or adjusted EBITDA, or lost key staff, vendors, or reseller ties.
Why it matters: Management named both as newer vendor ties. Their growth can show whether new partners add to Climb's sales.
Supportive ifClimb reports sequential sales growth from both Darktrace and Fortinet in a later quarter.
Worry ifClimb reports that either vendor's sales fell from the prior quarter or no longer names them as growing partners.
Why it matters: Q3 sales rose 37%, after 9% growth in Q2. A strong Q4 would show that recent growth is lasting.
Supportive ifQ4 net sales rise more than 20% year over year, with management citing growth from new and current vendors.
Worry ifQ4 net sales growth falls below 9% year over year, the rate reported in Q2.
Why it matters: Climb is spending on IT systems and automation. A lower cost share would show that these efforts help the business run better.
Supportive ifSG&A as a share of gross billings falls below Q3's 3.0% in a later quarter.
Worry ifSG&A as a share of gross billings rises above Q3's 3.0% in a later quarter.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$182 on $10,000 · ±1.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $420 loss on $10,000 · 4.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,770 loss on $10,000 · 47.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Q2 adjusted EBITDA was nearly flat, and its share of gross profit fell. In Q3, both measures rose.
Watch forAdjusted EBITDA grows year over year and remains at least 44% of gross profit, near Q3's 44.6%.
Also watch forAdjusted EBITDA is flat or lower year over year, or its share of gross profit falls below Q2's 37.5%.
Why it matters: Management set a goal to more than double 2025 adjusted EBITDA by 2030. Later results can show progress toward that goal.
Supportive ifClimb reports adjusted EBITDA at or above twice its 2025 level by 2030.
Worry ifClimb reports adjusted EBITDA below twice its 2025 level in 2030, or withdraws the goal.