Clipper Realty, Inc. (CLPR)
NYSEReal EstateReit - ResidentialSnapshot 2026-11-04
$3.33-0.89%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReit - ResidentialSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CLPR
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -77.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 3.9% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 81.4 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate) and operates in a high-miss-rate industry. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 11 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
CLPR — earnings miss
Dated 2026-05-14
and Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto shall not be deemed “ filed ” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “ Exchange Act ” ), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as expressly set forth by specific referencing in such filing.
Why it matters: Prospect House was fully leased at June 30, but it still lost money in Q2. Positive results would show that full occupancy is helping.
Supportive ifProspect House reports positive net income and positive AFFO in a quarter.
Worry ifProspect House reports a net loss and negative AFFO in the next reported quarter.
Why it matters: Residential revenue rose, but NOI fell year over year in Q2. Continued rent gains must cover rising taxes and insurance.
Watch forResidential revenue stays above $32.2 million. NOI rises above $21.6 million year over year.
Also watch forResidential revenue falls below $32.2 million or NOI falls below $21.6 million year over year.
Why it matters: The lender can take the property after marketing the loan. A clear outcome would show how this loss-making site leaves the company.
Watch forThe lender sells the loan, takes the deed, or forecloses, with terms and timing disclosed.
Also watch forThe marketing period ends without a sale or foreclosure. The company makes a loan deal that keeps the property open.
Why it matters: Commercial revenue was $6.4 million in Q2, down from $10.0 million a year earlier. New leases can show whether other sites fill part of the gap.
Supportive ifCommercial revenue rises above $6.4 million in a later quarter, with new leases cited as the cause.
Worry ifCommercial revenue stays at or below $6.4 million. No major new leases are reported.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$126 on $10,000 · ±1.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $368 loss on $10,000 · 3.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,451 loss on $10,000 · 24.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Q2 AFFO fell to $3.8 million from $8.3 million a year ago. A rebound would show that ongoing operations are making more cash.
Supportive ifQuarterly AFFO tops $3.8 million in a later report.
Worry ifQuarterly AFFO stays at or below $3.8 million in the next report.