Compass Minerals International, Inc. (CMP)
NYSEMaterialsIndustrial MaterialsSnapshot 2026-09-04
NYSEMaterialsIndustrial MaterialsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CMP
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 10 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $25 CMP trades at 34× p/e — 1.9× the 18× p/e peer median. The market is re-rating it beyond its own range; our $23 fair value is medium-confidence here. Analysts target $27–$35. Note: our $23 fair value sits below the entire analyst range ($27–$35). Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $31.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $108.28 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| graham number | 12M | $10.26 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $36.43 | 12.2 | 4.28 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Bottom 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$27.00 – $35.00 (median $31.00) · 4 analysts · as of 2026-08-31
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q4, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2, 2026-Q3
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| 12M |
| $47.86 |
| 26.0 |
| 1.84 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $13.43 | 17.9 | 0.75 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $51.58 | 1.5 | 34.58 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $19.43 | 25.9 | 0.75 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $6.67 | — | — | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $12.73 | 17.9 | 0.71 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $20.42 | 17.9 | 1.14 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $62.53 | 1.5 | 41.92 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $29.55 | 25.9 | 1.14 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $27.01 | 17.9 | 1.51 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $71.11 | 1.5 | 47.67 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $39.09 | 25.9 | 1.51 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |