Compass Minerals International, Inc. (CMP)
NYSEMaterialsIndustrial MaterialsSnapshot 2026-11-05
$22.71-2.36%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEMaterialsIndustrial MaterialsSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CMP
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 27.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -2.6% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 29.8 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 2 industry peers
CMP — Principal Accounting Officer transition
Dated 2026-10-28
Chief Accounting Officer — Ashley Ward: The resignation of the Chief Accounting Officer was followed immediately by the appointment of a named internal successor, indicating an orderly succession rather than a sudden loss of leadership.
Why it matters: Brandon Risner took over Salt operations after leading improvements at Ogden and in C&I. Lower Salt costs would show those gains are reaching the mine business.
Supportive ifA company report shows Salt cost per ton below the prior-year level.
Worry ifA company report shows Salt cost per ton at or above the prior-year level.
Why it matters: Salt prices rose, but higher mine and delivery costs cut earnings. Lower costs would show that Salt operations are improving.
Supportive ifIn the Nov. 23 report, Salt cost per ton falls year over year and Salt Adjusted EBITDA exceeds $38.9 million.
Worry ifSalt cost per ton rises year over year, or Salt Adjusted EBITDA is at or below $38.9 million.
Why it matters: Debt and leverage fell over the past year. A further drop would show that debt reduction is continuing.
Supportive ifThe next reported net leverage ratio is below 2.8 times.
Worry ifThe next reported net leverage ratio is 2.8 times or higher.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$129 on $10,000 · ±1.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $400 loss on $10,000 · 4.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,733 loss on $10,000 · 37.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.