CNH Industrial (CNH)
NYSEIndustrialsAgricultural - MachinerySnapshot 2026-09-04
$14.40+4.05%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsAgricultural - MachinerySnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CNH
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 12 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $14 CNH trades at 35× p/e — 1.5× the 24× p/e peer median. The market is re-rating it beyond its own range; our $13 fair value is medium-confidence here. Analysts target $10–$18. Even valued only for durable growth at sustainable margins, it's worth about $21 — above today's price, so the premium reflects that growth case, not pure multiple expansion. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $12.13 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $23.02 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $24.52 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| ddm gordon | 12M | $11.66 | — | — | TTM | high |
| graham number | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$10.50 – $18.00 (median $12.13) · 4 analysts · as of 2026-09-02
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
At today's price the business can't be justified by any reasonable horizon of the forecast growth; the price already runs past what the model can underwrite. These describe the expectations embedded in the price, not a forecast of the move. Reverse-DCF base: $0.54/sh owner earnings.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $7.61 |
| — |
| — |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $21.07 | 15.4 | 1.27 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $14.59 | 22.1 | 0.66 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $11.80 | 20.0 | 0.59 | ntm analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $23.82 | 1.6 | 14.65 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $14.09 | 34.4 | 0.41 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $5.54 | — | — | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $9.95 | 24.0 | 0.42 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $13.86 | 20.0 | 0.69 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $25.95 | 1.6 | 15.96 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $23.86 | 34.4 | 0.69 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $14.66 | 20.0 | 0.73 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $27.44 | 1.6 | 16.88 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $25.23 | 34.4 | 0.73 | Analyst | medium |