Cohen & Co Inc (COHN)
AMEXFinancialsFinancial - Capital MarketsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$11.35-0.53%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
AMEXFinancialsFinancial - Capital MarketsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · COHN
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -68.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -34.2% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 34.0 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 27 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
COHN — M&A activity — Termination of a Material Definitive Agreement
Dated 2026-08-31
Termination of a Material Definitive Agreement. See
Why it matters: Losses from partners can lower net income. Keeping track of this helps check overall profits.
Worry ifLoss from equity method partners is over $3 million in Q3.
Less concerning ifLoss from equity method affiliates is less than $1 million in Q3.
Why it matters: The financial sector's growth rate affects Cohen & Co. A slowdown could impact performance.
Worry ifSector revenue growth is above its median. This shows strong performance.
Less concerning ifSector revenue growth is below its median. This signals possible challenges.
Why it matters: Better cash flow is key for running the business and paying dividends. It shows good financial health.
Supportive ifCash flow from operations turns positive in Q2 after being negative in Q1.
Worry ifCash flow from operations remains negative in Q2.
Why it matters: New SPAC transactions can drive revenue and market interest. They are a key growth area for the company.
Supportive ifA new SPAC deal has been announced.
Worry ifNo new SPAC transactions announced in the next quarter.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$197 on $10,000 · ±2.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $980 loss on $10,000 · 9.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,138 loss on $10,000 · 61.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Steady revenue growth shows good performance. It helps management's goal to increase revenue.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue exceeds $69.5 million, showing continued growth from Q2.
Worry ifQ3 revenue falls below $69.5 million, indicating a slowdown in growth.
Why it matters: Revenue growth is a key indicator of the company's health. A drop below 15% may signal slowing demand.
Worry ifQ2 revenue growth falls below 15% year over year.
Less concerning ifQ2 revenue growth remains at or above 15% year over year.
Why it matters: Strong revenue growth shows the company is on track with its goals. It helps build investor confidence.
Supportive ifQ2 2026 revenue exceeds $60M, continuing the upward trend from Q1 2026.
Worry ifQ2 2026 revenue falls below $57.9M, indicating a slowdown in growth.
Why it matters: Updates on SPAC activities can greatly affect revenue and how investors feel. This is true in the current market.
Watch forColumbus Circle Capital Corp II shares news of a successful deal or big progress.
Also watch forNo news or delays in SPAC activities may mean there are challenges.
Why it matters: A drop in operating income may mean less profit. It could also show more problems.
Worry ifOperating income was below $12.4 million in Q3.
Less concerning ifOperating income was above $12.4 million in Q3.
Why it matters: Growth in this area indicates strong demand and operational success. It is a key revenue driver for the company.
Supportive ifGestation repo book size increases to over $4 billion by the end of Q2 2026.
Worry ifGestation repo book size falls or stays below $3.9 billion.
Why it matters: Better operating income is important for making money over time. It shows good cost management.
Supportive ifQ2 2026 operating income rises above $5.1M, reversing the decline seen in Q1 2026.
Worry ifIf Q2 2026 operating income is under $5.1M, it shows ongoing problems.
Why it matters: Strong growth in investment banking revenue shows the management is doing well with new technologies.
Supportive ifInvestment banking revenue exceeds $54.1 million in Q3.
Worry ifInvestment banking revenue falls below $54.1 million in Q3.
Why it matters: Keeping or raising the dividend shows trust in cash flow and profits. It means smart use of money.
Supportive ifThe Board declares a quarterly dividend of $0.25 per share for Q2.
Worry ifThe Board decides to cut or suspend the dividend in Q2.
Why it matters: The earnings report shows how well the company is doing. Stable profits can make investors feel better.
Supportive ifEarnings report shows profits are stable or growing year over year.
Worry ifEarnings report shows profits declining year over year.