Coty (COTY)
NYSEConsumer StaplesHousehold & Personal ProductsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$3.47+5.47%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer StaplesHousehold & Personal ProductsSnapshot 2026-11-04
Research Workspace
Put COTY beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Consumer Staples is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Operating income improves from -$372M in Q3 2026: Comparison needs review.
View ThesisRevenue is contracting — down about 1% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens weak on capital allocation, earnings delivery, margins, the balance sheet, market reaction to earnings.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 2% on a typical day and fell roughly 52% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskCoty's turnaround hinges on restoring operating income. Revenue growth is flat, with a 1% decline last quarter. The company beat its first-quarter earnings estimate by 33%. It trades at 14 times earnings versus a 17 times peer median. The price reflects less growth than our forecast suggests. Higher costs threaten the goal of improving profitability. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 44%. The thesis comparison is not yet verified. Peer multiples imply a price about 12% above where it trades. The thesis is on watch, and this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-11-04. COTY is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 17 analysts currently covering COTY (as of Nov 2026).
Based on 5 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for COTY in the last 4 months.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COTY Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 10 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-11-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Consumer Staples (broad) — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
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Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-11-04. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $3.47
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $3.47.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Threatens: Execute Coty.Curated strategic framework to strengthen core business
Loss of key brand undermines curated portfolio strategy.
Threatens: Improve operating income and profitability
Higher costs directly undermine profitability and turnaround goals.
Threatens: Improve operating income and profitability
Higher costs directly undermine profitability and turnaround goals.
Advances: Reduce debt and improve financial leverage
New CFO may enhance financial leverage strategy.
Threatens: Execute Coty.Curated strategic framework to strengthen core business
Weak visibility impacts growth outlook and strategic execution.
Advances: Improve operating income and profitability
Cost planning supports profitability improvement goals.
Advances: Improve operating income and profitability
Q4 EPS beat indicates improved profitability.
New product line enhances brand portfolio and revenue potential.