Capri Holdings (CPRI)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - Footwear & AccessoriesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$13.56+2.42%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - Footwear & AccessoriesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CPRI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -34.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 0.8% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 35.1 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 7 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
CPRI — credit agreement
Dated 2026-06-25
ENTRY INTO A MATERIAL DEFINITIVE AGREEMENT. On June 24, 2026 (the “Closing Date”), Capri Holdings Limited (the “Company”) entered into Amendment No. 1 (the “Amendment”) to its existing Amended and Restated Credit Agreement, dated as of February 4, 2025 (the “Existing Credit Agreement”, and as amended by the Amendment, the “Credit Agreement”), with, among others, JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A. (“JPMorgan Chase”), as administrative agent. The Amendment amends the Existing Credit Agreement to, among…
Why it matters: This revenue figure is a key test of the company's return to growth. Meeting this target shows the success of strategic initiatives.
Supportive ifQ1 FY 2027 revenue reported at or above $750 million.
Worry ifQ1 FY 2027 revenue reported below $700 million.
Why it matters: Low net debt helps with financial stability and growth plans. It shows good money management.
Supportive ifNet debt reported below $100 million.
Worry ifNet debt reported above $150 million.
Why it matters: Meeting this EPS target would support management's outlook for fiscal 2027 growth.
Supportive ifCapri Holdings reports Q2 EPS of at least $0.20.
Worry ifCapri Holdings reports Q2 EPS below $0.20.
Why it matters: Stabilizing revenue is key for Capri to return to growth in FY 2027.
Supportive ifQ4 revenue growth is better or stays above 0% compared to last year.
Worry ifQ4 revenue growth goes down compared to last year. This shows ongoing problems.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$205 on $10,000 · ±2.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $474 loss on $10,000 · 4.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,405 loss on $10,000 · 54.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: A big drop would show good cost control. This helps make more money.
Supportive ifOperating expenses decrease by 5% or more compared to the prior year.
Worry ifOperating expenses go up or stay the same compared to last year.
Why it matters: A drop would show better cost management. This would help meet profit goals.
Supportive ifOperating expenses decrease from $483 million in Q1 to below that in Q2.
Worry ifOperating expenses increase or remain flat in Q2.
Why it matters: Michael Kors is a key brand. Positive growth indicates successful brand strategies and consumer demand.
Watch forMichael Kors revenue growth reported at or above 2% year over year.
Also watch forMichael Kors revenue growth reported below -2% year over year.
Why it matters: Achieving 40% EPS growth is a key goal for Capri Holdings. It shows the company is improving its profitability.
Supportive ifQ1 FY 2027 EPS reported at or above $0.40.
Worry ifQ1 FY 2027 EPS reported below $0.40.
Why it matters: Strong growth would show the brand is recovering and management is working to make more money.
Supportive ifJimmy Choo revenue exceeds $179 million, showing growth above 10% year over year.
Worry ifJimmy Choo revenue growth falls below 5% year over year.
Why it matters: Consumer spending impacts Capri's sales. Strong retail sales lead to better results.
Watch forAdvance Monthly Retail Trade Report shows retail sales growth above 5% year over year.
Also watch forRetail sales growth is below 0%. This shows weak demand from consumers.
Why it matters: The refund could give a big cash boost. This will help financial stability and future investments.
Supportive ifThe full $65 million IEEPA tariff refund has been confirmed.
Worry ifThere may be a delay or cut in the expected IEEPA tariff refund.
Why it matters: Keeping EPS guidance shows confidence in making money. This is true even with revenue issues.
Supportive ifManagement confirms EPS guidance of about $2.15 for fiscal 2027.
Worry ifManagement lowers EPS guidance to below $2.15 for fiscal 2027.
Why it matters: This growth is important for investor trust. It shows that operations are getting better.
Supportive ifAdjusted EPS for FY 2027 reported at or above $2.15.
Worry ifAdjusted EPS for FY 2027 reported below $1.50.
Why it matters: A big drop would show the brand is still facing problems in recovery and growth.
Worry ifMichael Kors revenue reported below $590 million, a decline greater than 10% year over year.
Less concerning ifMichael Kors revenue stabilizes or grows year over year.
Why it matters: Hitting this target would show good cost control and better operations.
Supportive ifIn fiscal 2027, EPS was about $2.15, showing the 40% growth target is met.
Worry ifEPS growth reported below 30% year over year.