Cooper-Standard Holdings, Inc. (CPS)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - PartsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$17.85-19.01%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - PartsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CPS
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -63.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 5.9% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market and long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 69.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name has been missing across recent quarters and is on a run of consecutive earnings misses. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 20 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
CPS — earnings miss
Dated 2026-11-05
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On November 4, 2026 , Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release regarding its results of operations and financial condition for the third quarter ended September 30, 2026, and will host a conference call to discuss those preliminary results on November 5, 2026 at 9 a.m. ET. The press release is furnished as Exhibit 99 hereto and incorporated by reference herein.
Why it matters: First-half free cash flow was negative $76.9 million. A positive Q3 result would mark a change in cash flow direction.
Supportive ifQ3 free cash flow is above zero.
Worry ifQ3 free cash flow is zero or lower.
Why it matters: Q2 adjusted EBITDA was $53.9 million, down from $62.8 million a year earlier. Another drop would deepen pressure on the 2026 profit plan.
Worry ifQ3 adjusted EBITDA is below $51 million, the Q1 2026 result.
Less concerning ifQ3 adjusted EBITDA is at least $53.9 million, above Q2 2026.
Why it matters: Management said it expects to recover most Q2 oil cost increases in the second half. A shortfall could weigh on profit.
Watch forQ3 results show customer pricing or other recoveries made up most of the Q2 oil cost increase.
Also watch forQ3 results show that most of the Q2 oil cost increase remains unrecovered.
Why it matters: CPS amended its asset-based credit agreement in September. The filed terms can show whether borrowing room or key limits changed.
Watch forThe amendment filing shows more borrowing room or looser limits than before.
Also watch forThe amendment filing shows less borrowing room or tighter limits than before.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$208 on $10,000 · ±2.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $510 loss on $10,000 · 5.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,622 loss on $10,000 · 56.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.