Cooper-Standard Holdings, Inc. (CPS)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$27.18+2.10%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CPS
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance recently climbed back into the top half of its industry — confirming the recovery.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -72.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 5.7% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 78.1 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name has been missing across recent quarters and is on a run of consecutive earnings misses. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 32 industry peers
CPS — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-06
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On August 5, 2026 , Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release regarding its results of operations and financial condition for the second quarter ended June 30, 2026, and will host a conference call to discuss those preliminary results on August 6, 2026 at 9 a.m. ET. The press release is furnished as Exhibit 99 hereto and incorporated by reference herein.
Why it matters: Better earnings can help regain investor trust after a recent miss.
Supportive ifQ3 earnings show a smaller net loss than $18.8 million reported in Q2.
Worry ifQ3 earnings report shows a net loss larger than $18.8 million.
Why it matters: A better EBITDA margin means lower costs. It also shows better efficiency.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA margin goes above 8% in Q2 2026.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA margin falls below 7% in Q2 2026.
Why it matters: If net cash taxes go over this amount, it shows trouble with tax costs.
Worry ifNet cash taxes reported above $35 million in Q3.
Less concerning ifNet cash taxes reported within $30-$35 million in Q3.
Why it matters: Hitting this target shows good operations and strong finances.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA is at or above $265 million for 2026.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA will be less than $260 million in 2026.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$208 on $10,000 · ±2.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $540 loss on $10,000 · 5.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,414 loss on $10,000 · 44.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: New business awards signal growth potential. Strong awards support sales targets for 2026.
Supportive ifNet new business awards exceed $100 million in Q3 2026.
Worry ifNet new business awards fall below $80 million in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Managing taxes well can help make more money.
Supportive ifNet cash taxes reported at or below $35 million for 2026.
Worry ifNet cash taxes exceed $35 million for 2026.
Why it matters: Winning new business in these areas supports growth and aligns with market trends.
Supportive ifNet new business awards exceed $150 million in the next quarter.
Worry ifNet new business awards fall below $100 million in the next quarter.
Why it matters: A positive change in sector revenue growth could signal a recovery. This is important for Cooper-Standard's sales.
Watch forSector revenue growth reported above 0% year over year.
Also watch forSector revenue growth reported below -2% year over year.
Why it matters: The earnings report will show if losses continue or if there is improvement. Investors will react to changes in revenue and profit.
Worry ifQ2 earnings show a bigger loss than expected. This means performance is getting worse.
Less concerning ifQ2 earnings report shows a smaller loss or a profit. This means recovery is happening.
Why it matters: Staying in this range shows careful spending.
Supportive ifCapital spending is at or below $70 million for 2026.
Worry ifCapital spending is over $70 million for 2026.
Why it matters: Staying in this range shows good spending. It helps long-term growth without overspending.
Supportive ifCapital spending is between $60 million and $70 million. This shows good use of funds.
Worry ifCapital spending is over $75 million. This may mean financial issues.
Why it matters: Ongoing sales growth shows stable demand and good operations.
Supportive ifSales in Q3 2026 increase year-over-year by at least 2%.
Worry ifSales in Q3 2026 decline year-over-year.