CPS Technologies Corp (CPSH)
NASDAQInformation TechnologyHardware, Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$3.60-6.49%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologyHardware, Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CPSH
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 354.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 6.2% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 348.4 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of — · Company calendar date is not available
CPSH — debt issuance
Dated 2026-06-01
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On May 27, 2026, CPS Technologies Corp. (the “Company”) entered into securities purchase agreements (the “Purchase Agreements”) with certain institutional investors (the “Investors”) for the sale by the Company of 1,200,000 shares (the “Shares”) of its Common Stock, par value $0.01 per share (“Common Stock”), in a registered direct offering (the “Offering”), at a purchase price of $8.00 per share. The Offering was priced at-the-market under Nasdaq r…
Why it matters: The new site is meant to support growth. A delayed move could disrupt the plan to meet demand.
Watch forCPS reports a dated move plan and starts moving operations into the 80,000-square-foot site.
Also watch forCPS reports that the lease ended, the move is delayed beyond the coming quarters, or the site will not be used.
Why it matters: The Navy extended the first study phase. A new funded phase would show that the work is moving ahead.
Supportive ifCPS or the Navy announces a funded next phase or a new contract for the vehicle-weight work.
Worry ifThe Navy does not extend or fund the work after the six-month, $100,000 option ends.
Why it matters: The order was booked after Q1, with shipments set to begin in Q2. Shipment reports can show whether it adds to sales.
Supportive ifCPS reports shipments for the $4 million order. Hermetic packaging sales rise from the prior quarter.
Worry ifCPS reports that shipments have not begun, the order was delayed, or the order was canceled.
Why it matters: Margin rose from 8.6% in Q1 to 14.8% in Q2. A further rise would show progress on management's margin goal.
Supportive ifQ3 gross margin is above 14.8%, the Q2 2026 level.
Worry ifQ3 gross margin falls below 8.6%, the Q1 2026 level.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$220 on $10,000 · ±2.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $872 loss on $10,000 · 8.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $7,006 loss on $10,000 · 70.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Revenue rose from $7.0 million in Q1 to $8.3 million in Q2. Another rise would support the growth trend.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue is above $8.3 million, the Q2 2026 level.
Worry ifQ3 revenue is $7.0 million or lower, at or below the Q1 2026 level.