CPS Technologies Corp (CPSH)
NASDAQInformation TechnologyHardware, Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$3.83-0.26%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologyHardware, Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CPSH
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -2.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 5.4% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 7.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of — · Company calendar date is not available
CPSH — debt issuance
Dated 2026-06-01
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On May 27, 2026, CPS Technologies Corp. (the “Company”) entered into securities purchase agreements (the “Purchase Agreements”) with certain institutional investors (the “Investors”) for the sale by the Company of 1,200,000 shares (the “Shares”) of its Common Stock, par value $0.01 per share (“Common Stock”), in a registered direct offering (the “Offering”), at a purchase price of $8.00 per share. The Offering was priced at-the-market under Nasdaq r…
Why it matters: A smooth change to the new CFO could improve financial oversight and strategy.
Watch forChris Fraser starts as CFO on May 18. This ensures leadership stays the same.
Also watch forProblems during the move affect how money is managed and planned.
Why it matters: This capital raise is key for funding growth. It will also help improve facilities.
Supportive ifConfirming the $9.6 million offering closes would help growth plans.
Worry ifNot closing the offering would hurt growth plans and raise financial worries.
Why it matters: The move to a larger facility is crucial for CPS's growth. Updates will indicate progress in scaling operations.
Watch forAnnouncing the site and timeline for the facility move would help growth plans.
Also watch forNo updates or delays in the facility move would raise worries about growth.
Why it matters: Better gross margins would mean management's efforts to make more money are working. This is important after a big drop in Q1 margins.
Supportive ifGross margin in Q2 improves from 8.6% to above 10%.
Worry ifGross margin in Q2 stays below 8.6%, indicating ongoing issues.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$406 on $10,000 · ±4.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $958 loss on $10,000 · 9.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,972 loss on $10,000 · 69.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Using the $9.6 million raised well can boost growth and operations.
Supportive ifManagement shares details on projects funded by the capital raise. These projects are making progress.
Worry ifThere are no updates on how funds are used. The raised capital may not be used well.
Why it matters: Completing the move on time is crucial for supporting future growth and operations.
Supportive ifManagement says the facility move will be done by Q4 2026.
Worry ifThere are delays in the facility move. This will affect operational plans.
Why it matters: Moving to a larger facility is important. It will help support growth and production.
Watch forManagement says the facility move is done. The new site is ready to operate.
Also watch forDelays or setbacks in the facility move are reported.
Why it matters: The new CFO's impact on financial strategy could shape future performance. A smooth transition is key for stability.
Watch forPositive commentary on the new CFO's impact during Q2 earnings call.
Also watch forThere are worries that the CFO change might affect the financial plan.
Why it matters: Details about the move could show better results and more space in the future.
Supportive ifManagement shares information about the move and how it helps.
Worry ifNo news or delays in the move may indicate possible issues with operations.
Why it matters: A drop in revenue growth signals a slowdown in the sector. This could impact CPSH's performance.
Worry ifSector revenue growth falls below its median growth rate.
Less concerning ifSector revenue growth remains above its median growth rate.
Why it matters: News about the new facility could show future improvements. This move is key for growth.
Supportive ifA new facility will be announced. It will help operations in clear ways.
Worry ifDelay or lack of details about the facility move.
Why it matters: This order might show a change in revenue after a drop in Q1. Strong revenue growth would help management reach their goal of steady revenue increases.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue exceeds $7.0 million, indicating growth from the new order.
Worry ifQ2 revenue is still under $7.0 million, showing a continued drop.
Why it matters: A new CFO can change financial strategy. Positive changes may improve performance.
Supportive ifCFO Christopher S. Fraser shared a new financial plan. This plan boosts investor confidence.
Worry ifThere are no clear changes in strategy. Financial results remain poor after the CFO change.
Why it matters: If revenue is higher, it shows strong demand and good growth plans.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue was over $8.5 million. This shows growth is still strong.
Worry ifQ3 revenue fails to exceed $8.0 million, suggesting demand weakness.
Why it matters: Better gross margins mean better cost control and efficiency.
Supportive ifGross margin is over 15% in Q3. This shows good cost control.
Worry ifGross margin remains below 14% in Q3, signaling ongoing cost challenges.