Cricut, Inc. (CRCT)
NASDAQInformation TechnologyComputer HardwareSnapshot 2026-11-04
$8.88+48.74%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologyComputer HardwareSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CRCT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 3.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -0.4% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 3.9 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 5 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
CRCT — M&A activity — Termination of a Material Definitive Agreement
Dated 2026-10-27
Termination of a Material Definitive Agreement. In connection with entering into the Credit Agreement, the Company terminated the Prior Credit Agreement on October 22, 2026. As of the termination date, no principal amount was outstanding under the Prior Credit Agreement. The liens securing the obligations under the Prior Credit Agreement were released in accordance with the payoff letter and related release documents. No material early termination penalties were incurred in connection with th…
Why it matters: Paid subscribers and platform revenue grew, but 90-day engaged users were flat in Q2. More active users would support the platform growth story.
Supportive ifQ3 90-day engaged users rise above 3.5 million and grow year over year.
Worry ifQ3 90-day engaged users fall below 3.5 million or decline year over year.
Why it matters: International revenue grew over 16% in Q1, then fell 1% in Q2. A return to growth would support the expansion plan.
Supportive ifQ3 international revenue grows year over year and its share of total revenue stays at or above 23%.
Worry ifQ3 international revenue falls year over year and its share of total revenue drops below 23%.
Why it matters: Platform revenue grew 5% in Q2. A faster pace would support the platform-first plan as total revenue fell.
Supportive ifQ3 platform revenue grows more than 5% year over year, with paid subscribers above 3.1 million.
Worry ifQ3 platform revenue grows 5% or less year over year, or paid subscribers fall below 3.1 million.
Why it matters: Products revenue fell 22% in Q2 while total revenue fell 9%. Another sharp drop would show pressure beyond subscriptions.
Worry ifQ3 products revenue falls more than 15% year over year.
Less concerning ifQ3 products revenue decline is less than 10% year over year or turns to growth.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$139 on $10,000 · ±1.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $398 loss on $10,000 · 4.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,716 loss on $10,000 · 27.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Cricut replaced its credit agreement in October, and had no debt under the old deal. Future filings can show whether cash use or share repurchases change.
Watch forThe next filing shows no debt drawn under the new credit agreement and ongoing share repurchases.
Also watch forThe next filing shows new debt drawn or share repurchases stopped.