CorVel Corporation (CRVL)
NASDAQHealth CareInsurance - BrokersSnapshot 2026-09-04
$68.23-0.66%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQHealth CareInsurance - BrokersSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CRVL
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 18.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 6.1% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 12.7 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Worth watching into the next print: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 14 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
CRVL — CEO transition
Dated 2026-06-01
CEO, President — Michael G. Combs: Michael G. Combs is transitioning from CEO and President to Executive Chair, with Sarah Scott appointed as the new CEO and President.
Why it matters: Slower revenue growth may show problems for CorVel in the market or execution.
Worry ifQ2 revenue growth reported below 5% year over year.
Less concerning ifQ2 revenue growth reported above 5% year over year.
Why it matters: Tracking revenue growth will show if CorVel keeps growing. Steady growth is key for investor trust.
Supportive ifQ2 2026 revenue growth above 7% year-over-year.
Worry ifQ2 2026 revenue growth below 5% year-over-year.
Why it matters: If clients use CorVel's payment accuracy solutions, it shows the investment is working. This can help make more money in the future.
Supportive ifLook for three or more new clients for CERIS in the next quarter.
Worry ifNo new client implementations announced for CERIS in the next quarter.
Why it matters: Improvements in AI and automation can boost efficiency and profits. This helps CorVel compete.
Supportive ifAnnounce a successful AI project. It makes operations at least 15% more efficient.
Worry ifNo major progress in AI projects. There are no reported improvements.
Why it matters: Weak performance in the sector can affect CorVel's stock. It can also change how investors feel.
Worry ifHealth Care sector underperforms the broader market by more than 5% over the next month.
Less concerning ifHealth Care sector outperforms the broader market by more than 5% over the next month.
Why it matters: Ongoing share buybacks show strong capital management and trust in the business.
Supportive ifShare repurchases exceed $20 million in the next quarter.
Worry ifNo share buybacks or less buyback activity will happen next quarter.
Why it matters: Sarah Scott's first strategic plan will show how she plans to lead CorVel. Investors will look for changes that could impact growth.
Supportive ifA press release or presentation will share new plans from the new CEO.
Worry ifNo announcement means current strategies will stay the same.
Why it matters: Updates on AI and automation show how CorVel can work better.
Watch forManagement will announce big steps in AI and automation projects.
Also watch forThere will be no news on AI and automation investments.
Why it matters: A drop in revenue growth could signal challenges in CorVel's market environment.
Worry ifHealthcare revenue growth remains above the median in upcoming reports.
Less concerning ifHealthcare revenue growth drops below the median in upcoming reports.
Why it matters: Investing in AI could make services more efficient and help CorVel grow.
Supportive ifLook for signs of better efficiency or revenue growth from AI in the next call.
Worry ifNo big changes in efficiency or revenue growth expected in the next earnings call.
Why it matters: Sarah Scott's leadership may drive growth and innovation after Michael Combs' tenure.
Supportive ifPositive revenue growth reported in the next earnings release on August 4, 2026.
Worry ifRevenue growth declines or remains flat in the next earnings release.
Why it matters: Strengthening P&C services is very important. Growth here could mean better market position and stable revenue.
Supportive ifP&C services revenue increases by more than 8% year over year.
Worry ifP&C services revenue growth is less than 3% year over year.
Why it matters: More investment could boost efficiency and support future growth.
Supportive ifNews about new AI projects or partnerships can show better operations.
Worry ifNo major updates or news on AI investments in the next quarter.
Why it matters: The CEO transition could change strategic priorities. Monitoring this can reveal how CorVel adapts to new leadership.
Watch forThe new CEO, Sarah Scott, has positive things to say about future growth plans.
Also watch forConcerns from investors about the direction under new CEO Sarah Scott.
Why it matters: Progress in CERIS prepay solutions shows the company's ability to innovate and capture market share. This is key for future revenue growth.
Supportive ifManagement shares news about new clients. They also report big revenue growth from CERIS prepay solutions.
Worry ifNo new clients or revenue growth from CERIS prepay solutions.
Why it matters: A drop below the median would signal a slowdown in the health care sector, impacting CorVel's performance.
Worry ifHealth care sector revenue growth falls below its median of 10%.
Less concerning ifHealth care sector revenue growth stays above its median.
Why it matters: Growing CERIS prepay solutions is important for CorVel's growth plans.
Supportive ifNew clients for CERIS prepay solutions will be announced next quarter.
Worry ifNo new clients for CERIS prepay solutions will be announced next quarter.
Why it matters: A slowdown in revenue growth may show problems for CorVel's business.
Worry ifQ3 revenue growth prints below 10% year over year.
Less concerning ifQ3 revenue growth exceeds 10% year over year.
Why it matters: Share buybacks can show management believes in the company's value. This is important for how investors feel.
Supportive ifManagement announces new share buyback plans. They also plan to increase share repurchases.
Worry ifManagement stops or cuts back on share repurchase programs.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$122 on $10,000 · ±1.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $312 loss on $10,000 · 3.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,908 loss on $10,000 · 49.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.