CorVel Corporation (CRVL)
NASDAQHealth CareInsurance - BrokersSnapshot 2026-11-05
$85.91-1.68%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQHealth CareInsurance - BrokersSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CRVL
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 44.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 6.1% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 38.5 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 13 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
CRVL — CEO transition
Dated 2026-06-01
CEO, President — Michael G. Combs: Michael G. Combs is transitioning from CEO and President to Executive Chair, with Sarah Scott appointed as the new CEO and President.
Why it matters: Revenue rose 11% in the June quarter. Another strong quarter would show that growth is holding up.
Supportive ifIn the next earnings release, revenue is at least 10% above the same quarter last year.
Worry ifRevenue growth falls below 7%, the fiscal 2026 full-year growth rate, or revenue declines year over year.
Why it matters: Gross margin rose to 26% in the June quarter from 25% in March. Holding that level would show costs are not eating up sales growth.
Supportive ifThe next earnings release reports gross margin of at least 26%.
Worry ifThe next earnings release reports gross margin below 25%, the March quarter level.
Why it matters: New client launches can show whether CERIS demand turns into sales. Slow launches would weaken that growth signal.
Supportive ifThe next earnings release names more CERIS client launches and shows payment integrity work keeps growing.
Worry ifThe next earnings report shows delayed or fewer CERIS client launches, or no new payment integrity work.
Why it matters: Sarah Scott became CEO on July 1. Her first update can show whether the company keeps its growth and service plans on track.
Watch forIn the November 3 earnings update, Scott reaffirms CERIS growth and P&C service plans, with revenue growth at or above 10%.
Also watch forIn the November 3 earnings update, Scott reports delays to CERIS or P&C plans, or revenue growth below 7%.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$90 on $10,000 · ±0.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $274 loss on $10,000 · 2.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,068 loss on $10,000 · 40.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.