Crown Crafts Inc (CRWS)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryFurnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$2.72-1.81%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryFurnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CRWS
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance recently climbed back into the top half of its industry — confirming the recovery.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -59.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -13.1% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 46.7 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate) and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 16 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
CRWS — legal / regulatory event — Changes in Registrant ’ s Certifying Accountant
Dated 2026-08-31
Changes in Registrant ’ s Certifying Accountant . On August 27, 2026, the Audit Committee of the Board of Directors (the “Audit Committee”) of Crown Crafts, Inc. (the “Company”), following the completion of a competitive proposal process, approved the engagement of Grant Thornton LLP (“Grant Thornton”) as the Company’s independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending March 28, 2027, and approved the dismissal of KPMG LLP (“KPMG”) as the Company’s independent registered…
Why it matters: Better operating income means better cost control and profit. This is key for long-term growth.
Supportive ifOperating income shows a profit above $0.1 million in Q1 2027.
Worry ifOperating income is still negative or gets worse in Q1 2027.
Why it matters: Better consumer demand can lead to higher sales and profits for the company.
Supportive ifConsumer demand shows positive growth in the sector.
Worry ifConsumer demand indicators are still going down or staying the same.
Why it matters: If sales stay steady or increase, it means management is making more money.
Supportive ifIn Q1 2027, net sales were over $20.7 million. This shows recovery from past drops.
Worry ifIn Q1 2027, net sales fell below $20.7 million. This shows ongoing revenue problems.
Why it matters: Strong sales for Groovy Girls could drive overall revenue growth and brand strength.
Supportive ifGroovy Girls sales are higher than what management expected for the next quarters.
Worry ifGroovy Girls sales do not meet expectations. This shows weak product response.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$101 on $10,000 · ±1.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $260 loss on $10,000 · 2.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,649 loss on $10,000 · 16.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: A drop in gross margin may mean rising costs or pricing issues.
Worry ifGross profit margin is over 25%. This shows good cost control.
Less concerning ifGross profit margin is below 25%. This suggests higher costs or less pricing power.
Why it matters: Lower or steady expenses show good cost control and spending discipline.
Supportive ifMarketing and admin costs stay the same or drop from $5.2 million.
Worry ifCosts rise well above $5.2 million. This means cost management is not good.
Why it matters: If revenue grows, it may show a recovery in the weak consumer sector.
Supportive ifRevenue growth is positive over three years. This shows a change in momentum.
Worry ifRevenue growth is still negative. This shows the sector is still shrinking.
Why it matters: Positive revenue growth would mean sales are getting stable after recent drops.
Supportive ifQ1 2027 revenue exceeds $20.7 million, indicating growth from the previous quarter.
Worry ifQ1 2027 revenue is still below $20.7 million. This shows sales are still falling.
Why it matters: Signs of better consumer demand could increase sales and profits.
Watch forConsumer spending data shows a positive trend in July 2026.
Also watch forConsumer spending data shows a continued drop in July 2026.
Why it matters: A dividend cut may mean financial trouble or a change in how money is spent.
Worry ifManagement maintains the dividend at $0.03 per share without further cuts.
Less concerning ifManagement announces a cut in the dividend from $0.03 per share.
Why it matters: A big drop in sales means ongoing trouble in keeping revenue steady.
Worry ifQ1 2027 net sales were below $20.1 million. This shows a decline worse than -10%.
Less concerning ifQ1 2027 net sales stabilize or grow year over year.
Why it matters: If growth is over $16.8 million, it shows the company can increase sales. This is true even with weak industry conditions.
Supportive ifQ3 net sales reported above $16.8 million.
Worry ifQ3 net sales reported below $16.8 million.
Why it matters: A margin above 25.6% shows the company has good pricing and product mix.
Supportive ifGross profit margin reported above 25.6%.
Worry ifGross profit margin reported below 25.6%.
Why it matters: A dividend of $0.03 shows the company is stable and cares about how it uses money.
Watch forDividend payment remains at $0.03 per share.
Also watch forDividend payment is cut below $0.03 per share.