COREWEAVE, INC. (CRWV)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-09-04
$89.36+5.68%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CRWV
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -25.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | Not available |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 361 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A comparable growth gap is not available.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 68 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
CRWV — credit agreement
Dated 2026-08-10
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On August 7, 2026, CoreWeave Financing DDTL V-V, LLC (the “Borrower”), a Delaware limited liability company and an indirect subsidiary of CoreWeave, Inc., a Delaware corporation (the “Parent”), entered into a credit agreement (the “Credit Agreement”) with, inter alios , JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A., as administrative agent, U.S. Bank Trust Company, National Association, as collateral agent, U.S. Bank National Association, as depositary bank, JPMorgan C…
Why it matters: How CRWV manages its debt will affect its cash flow and future investments.
Watch forThe next quarterly statement shows positive cash flow after the debt issuance.
Also watch forThe next quarterly statement shows negative cash flow after the debt issuance.
Why it matters: A better adjusted EBITDA margin means lower costs and more profit.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA margin goes up from 56% in Q1 2026.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA margin goes down from 56% in Q1 2026.
Why it matters: More power capacity shows CoreWeave can meet rising demand for AI.
Supportive ifActive power capacity grows past 1.5 GW, showing fast growth.
Worry ifActive power capacity stays the same or drops from 1.5 GW.
Why it matters: A drop in revenue growth could signal a slowdown in the technology sector, impacting CRWV.
Worry ifThe next quarterly updates show sector revenue growth below its median.
Less concerning ifSector revenue growth remains above its median in the next quarterly updates.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$345 on $10,000 · ±3.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $848 loss on $10,000 · 8.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,749 loss on $10,000 · 57.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Improving net loss per share means better financial health and efficiency.
Supportive ifNet loss per share improves to below $1.00, showing progress in financial performance.
Worry ifNet loss per share stays above $1.14, indicating ongoing financial struggles.
Why it matters: A higher adjusted EBITDA margin means better efficiency. This leads to making more money.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA margin is above 59%. This shows better profits.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA margin drops or stays under 59%.
Why it matters: Winning big contracts would prove CoreWeave's strength in the market. It supports their growth plans.
Supportive ifThey announced new customer contracts worth over $10 billion.
Worry ifNo new big contracts were announced. This may show weak demand.
Why it matters: Over 100% growth shows strong demand and good execution in the AI market.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue growth exceeds 100% compared to Q2 2025.
Worry ifQ2 revenue growth falls below 80% year over year.
Why it matters: A growing backlog means strong future demand for CoreWeave's AI cloud services.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue backlog is above $104 billion. This shows strong customer commitments.
Worry ifQ3 revenue backlog is below $99 billion. This suggests weakening demand.
Why it matters: CoreWeave is making more money. They are keeping costs down as revenue increases.
Supportive ifOperating income turns positive in Q3. This shows better cost management.
Worry ifOperating income stays negative or worsens in Q3. This suggests ongoing cost issues.