COREWEAVE, INC. (CRWV)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-11-04
$43.66-9.83%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CRWV
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -49.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | Not available |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A comparable growth gap is not available.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 21 industry peers
CRWV — capital allocation — Unregistered Sale of Equity Securities
Dated 2026-09-22
Unregistered Sale of Equity Securities. See
Why it matters: The notes add $4.2 billion of debt. CoreWeave also paid $640 million in net interest in Q2, so new debt costs matter.
Worry ifThe April 1, 2027 payment is made on time, and the next report shows net interest expense at or below $640 million.
Less concerning ifThe payment is missed or late, or reported net interest expense rises above Q2's $640 million.
Why it matters: The capped calls are meant to limit dilution from the new notes, but their protection has a price cap. Above it, dilution can still occur.
Worry ifA filing says the stock price used for a notes conversion is above $199.70 per share. Shares are issued for the conversion.
Less concerning ifThe stock price used for conversion is at or below $199.70, or the conversion is settled without issuing shares.
Why it matters: More active power can let CoreWeave serve more AI workloads. Q2 active power reached 1.5 GW, while contracted power was about 3.7 GW.
Supportive ifA company update reports more than 1.5 GW of active power and more than 3.7 GW of contracted power.
Worry ifActive power remains at or below 1.5 GW, or contracted power falls below 3.7 GW in the next update.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$345 on $10,000 · ±3.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $1,004 loss on $10,000 · 10.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,491 loss on $10,000 · 64.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.