CSP, Inc. (CSPI)
NASDAQInformation TechnologyInformation Technology ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$7.17-4.14%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologyInformation Technology ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CSPI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -72.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -5.0% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 67.3 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of —
CSPI — Principal Accounting Officer transition
Dated 2026-06-09
Vice President of Finance and Chief Accounting Officer — Michael Newbanks: Mr. Newbanks left his position as Vice President of Finance and Chief Accounting Officer.
Why it matters: Hardware delays kept sales below the prior year in Q3. Turning the backlog into sales would ease that drag.
Supportive ifAt the Dec. 15 results, TS sales rise year over year and management reports backlog orders shipped.
Worry ifTS sales fall year over year again, or management says hardware delays still block orders from shipping.
Why it matters: Q3 sales fell 7% year over year, and the company reported an $846,000 loss. The next report tests if that weakness persists.
Watch forAt the Dec. 15 results, sales grow year over year and net income is above zero.
Also watch forAt the Dec. 15 results, sales fall year over year and the net loss is larger than $846,000.
Why it matters: Management says some prospects are near the end of an 18–24 month sales cycle. A signed deal would show the sales push is working.
Supportive ifCSPi names a new AZT PROTECT deal worth seven figures or more, or reports a signed multi-site deal.
Worry ifThe next results report no large AZT PROTECT deal and no new multi-site win.
Why it matters: High renewals support the case that customers value AZT PROTECT. A lower rate would weaken that signal.
Supportive ifCSPi reports a 100% AZT PROTECT renewal rate again in its next results or customer update.
Worry ifCSPi reports an AZT PROTECT renewal rate below 100%.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$161 on $10,000 · ±1.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $533 loss on $10,000 · 5.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,084 loss on $10,000 · 50.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Management says full-year growth is on track. The next results will show if sales rose despite a nine-month decline.
Supportive ifFY2026 sales exceed FY2025 sales in the next results release.
Worry ifFY2026 sales match or fall below FY2025 sales.