Carriage Services, Inc. (CSV)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryPersonal Products & ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryPersonal Products & ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CSV
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 10 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $34 CSV trades at 11× p/e, below its 15× p/e peer median. Our $40 fair value sits above the price. We hold it with medium confidence: our number sits below the analyst range. Analysts target $46–$50. Note: our $40 fair value sits below the entire analyst range ($46–$50). Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $48.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| ddm gordon | 12M | $10.02 | — | — | TTM | high |
| graham number | 12M | $35.30 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $41.48 | 10.4 | 7.20 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Bottom 25% on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$46.00 – $50.00 (median $48.00) · 3 analysts · as of 2026-08-13
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
At today's price you pay about 3612% over what the business is worth with no growth; closing that gap needs roughly 237.5 years of the forecast growth to come through. These describe the expectations embedded in the price, not a forecast of the move. Reverse-DCF base: $0.03/sh owner earnings.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $54.28 |
| 15.3 |
| 3.56 |
| ntm analyst |
| high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $21.62 | 0.8 | 26.34 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $63.46 | 20.2 | 3.14 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $25.33 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $38.65 | 12.3 | 3.14 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $49.72 | 15.1 | 3.29 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $62.15 | 15.3 | 4.07 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $26.38 | 0.8 | 32.14 | guidance | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $82.28 | 20.2 | 4.07 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $50.12 | 12.3 | 4.07 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $70.68 | 15.3 | 4.63 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $30.00 | 0.8 | 36.55 | guidance | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $93.57 | 20.2 | 4.63 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $56.99 | 12.3 | 4.63 | Analyst | medium |