CTAS
CintasNASDAQIndustrialsSpecialty Business ServicesSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, CTAS has a composite score of 26.6, indicating a "mild favorable" signal. The score is supported by high confidence in guidance credibility at 100.0, while macro factors such as growth and labor trends are potential drivers of change. The sector score is relatively low at 16.7, contributing to a moderate overall risk label.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share1.00
- Slope (norm)0.14
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2, 2026-Q3
Why this rank
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $1.23 → $1.23 (+0.1% / 30d). 5 raised, 4 cut, 11 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 43% of analysts rate Buy.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
6 material events in the last 24 months — top 5 listed below.
- 2026-03-31CTAS — credit agreementimpact 0.36
- 2026-03-31CTAS — capital allocation — Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balan…impact 0.28
- 2026-03-11CTAS — divestitureimpact 0.23
- 2026-03-31CTAS — M&A activity — Termination of Existing Credit Agreement In connection with the entry into th…impact 0.19
- 2025-12-22CTAS — acquisition announcedimpact 0.14
Stated priorities
Insufficient transcript history for this ticker.
Guidance track record
Last 4 quarters of EPS guidance with actuals.
Per-quarter detail
| Period | Guidance | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-05-31 | $1.64 – $1.69 | $1.77 | beat |
| 2020-08-31 | $2.00 – $2.20 | $2.78 | beat |
| 2020-11-30 | $2.00 – $2.20 | $2.62 | beat |
| 2021-05-31 | $2.20 – $2.40 | $2.47 | beat |
Beat / inside / miss is computed from the guided range when issued; for point-estimate quarters a ±5% tolerance band around the mid is used. surprise_pct_vs_mid is unstable when guided EPS is near zero, so it is not surfaced as a headline.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 20%; 252d 19%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −27%. Bad day move −2%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLI) — 0.51 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 68/100, drawdown 47/100, beta 51/100, earnings vol —.
via XLI
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- No material changes since the prior snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
Met or beat guidance 100% of the last 4 guided quarters · 17.7% avg surprise
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
No qualifying priorities for this snapshot. Check back after the next refresh.
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
71 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
CTAS Cintas | +27 | fair | moderate |
CAT Caterpillar Inc. | +13 | expensive | moderate |
GE GE Aerospace | +11 | expensive | moderate |
GEV GE Vernova | +10 | full | moderate |
RTX RTX Corporation | +20 | fair | moderate |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If industrials sector trend rises from +0.05 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently RAISED as of 2026-03-25)-16 pts
- If industrials sector trend falls from +0.05 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
- If growth state reverses from +0.25 (positive) to -0.25 (negative)-4.0 pts
- If labor state reverses from -0.31 (negative) to +0.31 (positive)-3.7 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-03-311mo agoItem 1.01
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. Entry into Credit Agreement On March 27, 2026, Cintas Corporation No. 2 (“Cintas No. 2”), a Nevada corporation and wholly-owned subsidiary of Cintas Corporation, a Washington corporation (the “Corporation”), entered into a $2.0 billion revolving credit facility (the “Revolving Credit Facility”), which contains a letter of credit sub-facility of up to $300.0 million and a swing line sub-facility of up to $150.0 million pursuant to the terms and condi…
capital allocationneutralscore 27 - 2026-03-251mo agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On March 25 2026, Cintas Corporation issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter ended February 28, 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference.
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 24 - 2026-03-311mo agoItem 2.03
Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant. The information set forth in
capital allocationnegativescore 21 - 2026-03-311mo agoItem 1.02CTAS — M&A activity — Termination of Existing Credit Agreement In connection with the entry into th…
Termination of Existing Credit Agreement In connection with the entry into the Credit Agreement as described in
mna activitynegativescore 21 - 2026-03-111mo agoItem 1.01
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. Merger Agreement On March 10, 2026, Cintas Corporation, a Washington corporation (“Cintas”), entered into an Agreement and Plan of Merger (the “Merger Agreement”) with (i) UniFirst Corporation, a Massachusetts corporation (“UniFirst”), (ii) Bruin Merger Sub I, Inc., a Delaware corporation and a wholly owned subsidiary of Cintas (“Merger Sub Inc.”), and (iii) Bruin Merger Sub II, LLC, a Delaware limited liability company and a wholly owned subsidiary…
mna activityneutralscore 17
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.