Reading CACI? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track CACI free→Reading CACI? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track CACI free→NYSEIndustrialsInformation Technology ServicesSnapshot 2026-06-12
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
Recent financial performance is strong, while earnings quality and management's recent track record are neutral. Risk is moderate, and the sector backdrop presents a headwind, although CACI is performing above typical compared to sector peers. Peer multiples imply a price about 7% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is fair. This assessment hinges on guidance changes and sector trends, particularly the performance of key bellwethers in the Industrials sector. The read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $519.40. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $519 CACI trades at 18× p/e, below its 21× p/e peer median. Our $555 fair value sits above the price; high confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price sits about 6% below a flat-multiple fair value; not enough history to forecast a comparison. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Industrials names rated strong grew net income 69% of the time over the next year (vs 58% for the rest of the cohort, n=3696).
Over the trailing year it converted 1.24x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Industrials names rated neutral grew net income 57% of the time over the next year (vs 60% for the rest of the cohort, n=4440).
Not enough signal yet.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the broad stock market, the US dollar, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, Fed net liquidity, long-term interest rates.
1 material management or governance event in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Industrials names rated neutral grew net income 59% of the time over the next year (vs 60% for the rest of the cohort, n=1113).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $7.39 → $7.33 (-0.8% / 30d). 0 raised, 0 cut, 14 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 1 maintained. 75% of analysts rate Buy.
1 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 7.7% above current price.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$121.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$285.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $2,736.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-12
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: If operating income grows over 15%, it shows CACI is managing costs effectively. This could lead to better margins.
Confirms:Operating income grew more than 15% compared to last year.
Disproves:Operating income grew less than 5% compared to last year.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for CACI yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On June 1, 2026, DeEtte Gray notified CACI International Inc (the “Company”) of her intention to retire as President, U.S. Operations, effective June 30, 2026. At the Company’s request, Ms. Gray has agreed to remain an employee of the Company as a Strategic Advisor from July 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (the “Transition Period”) to support an orde…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2, 2026-Q3
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Diversified Support Services.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
CACI CACI International | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 77 of 100 | fair | moderate |
CTAS Cintas | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 81 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
CPRT Copart | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 87 of 100 | fair | elevated |
RBA RB Global | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 72 of 100 | full | moderate |
ULS UL Solutions | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 83 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-12.
via XLI
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-12.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Focus on increasing revenue growth through strategic initiatives and acquisitions.
Continue efforts to enhance operating income through efficiency improvements.
Aim to increase net income through strategic growth and operational efficiency.
Why it matters: If net income grows over 20%, it shows strong improvements. This may attract more investors.
Confirms:Net income growth reported above 20% year over year.
Disproves:Net income growth reported below 10% year over year.
Why it matters: Exceeding this growth rate would show CACI is gaining momentum in a slowing sector.
Confirms:Q3 revenue growth reported above 6%.
Disproves:Q3 revenue growth reported below 6%.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On April 22, 2026 , CACI International Inc released its financial results for the third quarter fiscal year 2026 . A copy of the press release announcing the financial results as well as the schedule for a conference call and webcast on April 23, 2026 is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K.