Cintas (CTAS)
NASDAQIndustrialsSpecialty Business ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-05
$226.41-1.14%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsSpecialty Business ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CTAS
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 48.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 8.6% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 40.1 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 13 industry peers
CTAS — CEO transition
Dated 2026-08-03
President and COO — Jim Rozakis: Jim Rozakis was promoted to President and COO, while Todd Schneider will remain as CEO.
Why it matters: Cintas raised its revenue range after strong first-quarter growth. Results at or above $12.15 billion would meet the new low end.
Supportive ifFiscal 2027 revenue is at least $12.15 billion, the low end of the updated range.
Worry ifCintas cuts its fiscal 2027 revenue range below $12.15 billion or reports revenue below that level.
Why it matters: Cintas returned $544.7 million through share purchases in the first quarter and through September 22. The next report can show whether that pace continued.
Watch forThe next quarterly report shows more share buybacks and total cash returned above $544.7 million.
Also watch forThe next quarterly report shows no share repurchases and total cash returned of $544.7 million or less.
Why it matters: Cintas raised its adjusted EPS range. Meeting its new low end would show that earnings are tracking the higher plan.
Supportive ifFiscal 2027 adjusted diluted EPS is at least $5.45, the low end of the updated range.
Worry ifCintas cuts its adjusted EPS range below $5.45 or reports adjusted EPS below that level.
Why it matters: Gross margin reached a record 51.5% in the latest quarter. A further rise would build on that result; a drop would show it did not last.
Watch forA later quarter reports gross margin of at least 51.5%.
Also watch forA later quarter reports gross margin below 51.5%.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$97 on $10,000 · ±1.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $206 loss on $10,000 · 2.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,025 loss on $10,000 · 20.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.