Contango Silver & Gold, Inc. (CTGO)
AMEXMaterialsGoldSnapshot 2026-11-04
$15.22+11.09%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
AMEXMaterialsGoldSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CTGO
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -54.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | Not available |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the US dollar and the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A comparable growth gap is not available.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 3 industry peers
CTGO — credit agreement
Dated 2026-07-08
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On July 1, 2026, CORE Alaska, LLC (the “Borrower”), an indirect wholly-owned subsidiary of Contango Silver & Gold Inc. (the “Company”), entered into Consent No. 7 and Amendment No. 13 (the “Amendment”) to that certain Credit and Guarantee Agreement, dated as of May 17, 2023 (as amended, the “Credit Agreement”), by and among the Borrower, the Company and the other guarantors party thereto, the lenders party thereto from time to time (the “Lenders”),…
Why it matters: Road, portal-area work, and a camp pad are ready ahead of plan. Starting the drift would mark progress toward deeper project studies.
Supportive ifThe company starts building underground exploration drifts in 2027. It reports that work is on schedule.
Worry ifDrift construction has not started by the end of 2027, or permitting or site work delays the start.
Why it matters: The East Drift is the first modern test of the vein system's eastern side. Results can show whether mineralization extends there.
Supportive ifAssays from 2070E and 2300E drilling show gold-bearing intervals in multiple holes. They support a continuous vein system.
Worry ifAssays from both East Drift areas show no meaningful gold-bearing intervals. Or planned drilling is not complete by early 2027.
Why it matters: Manh Choh's third campaign ended early, and rain and higher costs pushed output lower. Q3 results will show the effect.
Worry ifOn November 12, Q3 results show production or costs below the lower end of 2026 guidance, or cash costs above Q2's $2,641 per ounce.
Less concerning ifQ3 results keep costs near Q2's $2,641 per ounce and confirm a path to at least 40,000 gold-equivalent ounces for 2026.
Why it matters: The third campaign left planned ore for the fourth. Processing those tons can support 2026 output.
Supportive ifThe fourth campaign processes tons moved in the third campaign. Results show production near the original 2026 plan.
Worry ifThe fourth campaign is delayed or ends with some moved tons still unprocessed, and 2026 output remains near the guidance floor.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$225 on $10,000 · ±2.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $776 loss on $10,000 · 7.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,861 loss on $10,000 · 58.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.