CHEETAH NET SUPPLY CHAIN SERVICE INC (CTNT)
NASDAQIndustrialsIntegrated Freight & LogisticsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$1.25+0.81%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsIntegrated Freight & LogisticsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CTNT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 3.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 98.1% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 94.5 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate) and has erratic recent earnings surprises. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 8 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
CTNT — debt issuance
Dated 2026-08-26
Entry Into a Material Definitive Agreement. On August 21, 2026, Cheetah Net Supply Chain Service Inc. (the “Company”) entered into a sales agreement (the “Sales Agreement”) with Pacific Century Securities, LLC (the “Sales Agent”), acting as the Company’s sales agent, pursuant to which the Company may offer and sell, from time to time, to or through the Sales Agent shares of Class A common stock of the Company, par value $0.0001 per share (the “Class A Common Stock”), having an aggregate offer…
Why it matters: If revenue goes up, it shows more demand in logistics and warehousing.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue is over $100,000. This shows recovery from the 80.7% drop in Q1.
Worry ifQ2 revenue is still below $100,000. This shows weak demand continues.
Why it matters: A significant revenue drop would signal ongoing issues in the logistics sector. This could affect investor confidence and future growth.
Worry ifQ2 logistics revenue was below $92,700. This shows a drop of over 80% from last year.
Less concerning ifQ2 logistics revenue stabilizes or grows year over year.
Why it matters: A steady CFO can help investor trust and keep things running smoothly. The recent resignation worries people.
Watch forThe company names a new CFO who has the right experience.
Also watch forThe company has trouble finding a new CFO, which creates doubt.
Why it matters: Cash reserves are under $1 million. This raises concerns about liquidity. It affects how the company can operate.
Worry ifCash and cash equivalents fall below $1 million in Q3 2026.
Less concerning ifCash and cash equivalents remain above $1 million in Q3 2026.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$423 on $10,000 · ±4.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $1,147 loss on $10,000 · 11.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $9,970 loss on $10,000 · 99.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Better cash flow means the company is working well and is financially healthy. Ongoing negative cash flow is a worry.
Supportive ifNet cash used in operations fell from about $2.5 million in Q1.
Worry ifIf net cash used in operations goes up or stays at $2.5 million or more.
Why it matters: Earnings results will show if the company can sustain growth after the recent acquisition and CFO change.
Watch forQ2 earnings are better than expected. This shows strong revenue growth and better margins.
Also watch forQ2 earnings are below expectations. This suggests there may be problems with integration or management.
Why it matters: A small operating loss shows better financial control and efficiency. This is key for investor trust.
Supportive ifOperating loss does not exceed $900,000 in Q3 2026.
Worry ifOperating loss exceeds $1 million in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: A new CFO might bring new ideas to improve finances. A long vacancy may show trouble.
Watch forAnnouncement of a new CFO appointment within the next quarter.
Also watch forNo progress on filling the CFO position after several months.
Why it matters: Strong growth in international trading shows Super International is doing well. This helps long-term growth.
Supportive ifInternational trading revenue grows more than 20% from $868,909 in Q2 2026.
Worry ifInternational trading revenue growth is less than 10% in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Finalizing the acquisition would show progress in Cheetah's growth strategy. It could boost revenue and market position.
Supportive ifA press release confirming the successful completion of the acquisition by the end of Q3 2026.
Worry ifThe acquisition is delayed or canceled. This shows there are problems with execution.
Why it matters: If logistics revenue stays at $0, it shows ongoing challenges in this segment. This could signal deeper issues in the company's core operations.
Worry ifLogistics and warehousing revenue remains at $0 for Q3 2026.
Less concerning ifLogistics and warehousing revenue will be over $50,000 in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Approval would help improve the stock price and attract more investors. It can stabilize the share price.
Supportive ifThe board announces that the reverse stock split has been approved.
Worry ifThe board decides against the reverse stock split or delays the decision.