Culp Inc (CULP)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryManufacturing - TextilesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$3.64-4.71%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryManufacturing - TextilesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CULP
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -71.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 2.4% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 73.6 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate) and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 2 industry peers
CULP — earnings miss
Dated 2026-07-01
of Form 8-K. Such information shall not be deemed “filed” for the purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the "Exchange Act"), nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing. The news release attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 contains adjusted income statement information for the three- and 12-month periods ended May 3, 2026…
Why it matters: Bedding sales grew 13.2% despite one fewer selling week. More growth would support management's share-gain claim.
Supportive ifQ2 bedding sales grow year over year and exceed the bedding industry's revenue growth.
Worry ifQ2 bedding sales fall year over year or grow less than the bedding industry.
Why it matters: Upholstery sales were nearly flat in Q1 and fell 12.5% for FY2026. Growth would mark a change in a weak segment.
Supportive ifQ2 upholstery sales exceed the same quarter last year.
Worry ifQ2 upholstery sales remain below the same quarter last year.
Why it matters: Tariff refunds lifted reported Q1 results, but adjusted EBITDA excludes that benefit. New tariff costs could weigh on margins.
Worry ifThe next report cites higher tariff costs and shows adjusted gross margin below Q1's 15.6%.
Less concerning ifThe next report shows adjusted gross margin at or above 15.6%, with no new tariff cost pressure.
Why it matters: CULP sells bedding and furniture fabrics in a pressured market. Falling retail sales may add to demand strain.
Worry ifThe November 17 retail sales report shows sales fell from the prior month, and CULP reports lower Q2 sales.
Less concerning ifThe November 17 report shows sales grew from the prior month, and CULP reports Q2 sales above the prior-year quarter.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$168 on $10,000 · ±1.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $369 loss on $10,000 · 3.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,374 loss on $10,000 · 33.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Net debt fell from $10.9 million to $3.1 million in Q1. Further debt cuts would support the goal of reaching net cash.
Supportive ifThe next report shows net debt below $3.1 million, with positive free cash flow.
Worry ifThe next report shows net debt at or above $3.1 million, or negative free cash flow.