CHICAGO RIVET and MACHINE CO (CVR)
AMEXIndustrialsManufacturing - Metal FabricationSnapshot 2026-09-04
$10.25+0.39%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
AMEXIndustrialsManufacturing - Metal FabricationSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CVR
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -87.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 6.5% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 93.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 7 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
CVR — dividend update
Dated 2026-05-14
Other Events. On May 14, 2026, the Company announced that its Board of Directors approved the suspension of the Company's quarterly cash dividend. Attached as Exhibit 99.1 is a copy of the press release relating to the announcement, which is incorporated herein by reference.
Why it matters: A change in dividend policy could mean better cash flow and financial health.
Supportive ifThe Board says it will restart dividend payments after looking at capital use.
Worry ifThe Board decides to extend the suspension of the dividend.
Why it matters: Increased revenue from sales efforts shows that investments are paying off. This could improve overall company performance.
Supportive ifRevenue growth exceeds 10% year over year in the next quarterly earnings.
Worry ifRevenue growth is below 5% year over year in the next quarterly earnings.
Why it matters: The industrial sector is growing. Faster revenue growth could help Chicago Rivet.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth speeds up again, showing market demand.
Worry ifSector revenue growth slows down, showing ongoing problems.
Why it matters: Successful new products could drive revenue growth and improve market position.
Supportive ifManagement says new products are launched well. This leads to more sales.
Worry ifNew product launches do not bring the expected sales or interest.
Why it matters: Revenue growth is important for making more money. Steady growth may show good sales strategies.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue increases exceed $7.24B, showing strong sales efforts.
Worry ifQ2 revenue growth falls below $6.85B, indicating weak sales performance.
Why it matters: The suspension of the dividend shows a shift in capital priorities. Updates could signal changes in financial health.
Supportive ifA press release shows the quarterly cash dividend is back.
Worry ifNo news on the dividend policy after the next review.
Why it matters: New product revenue growth shows good sales efforts and market demand.
Supportive ifRevenue from new products increases by more than 15% in the next quarter.
Worry ifRevenue from new products does not grow or declines in the next quarter.
Why it matters: Better capacity use helps meet orders and grow revenue.
Supportive ifProduction capacity use goes up by more than 10% next quarter.
Worry ifProduction capacity use stays the same or goes down next quarter.
Why it matters: Better operating income is key for long-term growth and shows good management.
Supportive ifOperating income turns positive in the next quarter.
Worry ifOperating income stays negative or gets worse next quarter.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$173 on $10,000 · ±1.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $457 loss on $10,000 · 4.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,506 loss on $10,000 · 35.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.