Covista Inc. (CVSA)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryEducation & Training ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$112.96-9.04%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryEducation & Training ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CVSA
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -46.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 6.6% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 52.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 6 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
CVSA — credit agreement
Dated 2026-09-23
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement On September 18, 2026 (the “Effective Date”), Covista Inc. (“Covista” or “us”) entered into Amendment No. 6 to Credit Agreement (the “Amendment”), by and among Covista, as borrower, the guarantors party thereto, the lender party thereto and Morgan Stanley Senior Funding, Inc., as administrative agent (in such capacity, the “Administrative Agent”), which amended our Credit Agreement, dated as of August 12, 2021 (as previously amended, the “Existing…
Why it matters: The campus adds a new site to Covista’s nursing platform. Opening on time and enrolling students would show progress on campus growth.
Supportive ifChamberlain starts classes at its 27th campus in Nashville in January 2027.
Worry ifClasses do not start at the Nashville campus in January 2027, or Covista reports a delay.
Why it matters: Walden drove much of the recent growth, with enrollment up 12.8%. A sharp slowdown could weaken the company’s growth pace.
Worry ifWalden enrollment growth falls below 10% year over year in a reported quarter.
Less concerning ifWalden enrollment growth stays at or above 12% year over year in the next reported quarter.
Why it matters: The score fell by 50.8 points after fresh earnings, even as sales and enrollment grew. A further drop would keep the signal at odds with reported growth.
Worry ifThe next score update shows company momentum at -23.5 or lower.
Less concerning ifThe next score update rises above -23.5.
Why it matters: Covista raised its revenue range after 7.6% enrollment growth. Revenue above the new range would show that growth is holding.
Supportive ifFY2027 revenue is above $2,095 million, the top of the raised range.
Worry ifFY2027 revenue is below $2,060 million, the bottom of the raised range.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$137 on $10,000 · ±1.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $371 loss on $10,000 · 3.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,363 loss on $10,000 · 23.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.