CPI Aerostructures Inc (CVU)
AMEXIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-11-04
$4.46-7.66%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
AMEXIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CVU
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance dropped from the top half to the bottom half of its industry over the past month — the reason to own it has weakened.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 81.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 10.0% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 71.5 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 23 industry peers
CVU — earnings in line
Dated 2026-05-18
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 18, 2026, CPI Aerostructures, Inc. issued a press release announcing financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. The press release is attached to this Current Report on Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1. The information furnished under this Item 2.02, including the exhibit related thereto, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (the “ Exchange Act ”) or otherwise subject to the liab…
Why it matters: Backlog rose from $495 million to $533 million. More revenue would show that orders are moving into work and delivery.
Supportive ifA later results release reports revenue above $34.9 million for six months, with backlog still at or above $533 million.
Worry ifA later results release reports revenue below $34.9 million for six months, or backlog below $495 million.
Why it matters: Contract assets were $34.3 million at June 30. A drop alongside revenue growth would show progress in billing work already done.
Worry ifAt the next reported quarter, contract assets fall below $34.3 million while revenue stays at least $17.6 million.
Less concerning ifContract assets rise above $34.3 million while revenue falls below $17.6 million.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$138 on $10,000 · ±1.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $494 loss on $10,000 · 4.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,285 loss on $10,000 · 32.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.