Community Health Systems, Inc. (CYH)
NYSEHealth CareMedical - Care FacilitiesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$2.89-0.69%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEHealth CareMedical - Care FacilitiesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CYH
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -45.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -2.8% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 43.0 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name has erratic recent earnings surprises and is on a run of consecutive earnings misses. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 26 industry peers
CYH — earnings miss
Dated 2026-07-22
above also includes the Company’s 2026 updated annual earnings guidance. This 2026 guidance is based on the Company’s historical operating performance, current trends and other assumptions the Company believes are reasonable at this time as set forth on pages 16, 17, 18, 19 and 20 of the press release. A copy of the press release making this announcement is attached as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated by reference into this
Why it matters: Ongoing divestitures can change revenue and focus. It’s important to monitor them.
Worry ifThere are more big asset sales that will reduce revenue by over $100 million.
Less concerning ifNo big asset sales are planned for next quarter.
Why it matters: More admissions show demand for services and recovery. This is vital for steady revenue.
Supportive ifSame-store admissions grew over 1.9% in Q3.
Worry ifSame-store admissions decline or stay flat in Q3.
Why it matters: Admissions drive revenue. Stable or growing admissions show better health.
Supportive ifQ3 admissions show year-over-year growth of at least 1.0%.
Worry ifQ3 admissions drop or stay the same compared to last year.
Why it matters: If healthcare revenue growth speeds up, it could lift Community Health's performance. This is important for the company's outlook.
Supportive ifHealthcare sector revenue growth returns to near 10% or higher.
Worry ifHealthcare sector revenue growth is under 5%. This shows it is slowing down.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$170 on $10,000 · ±1.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $571 loss on $10,000 · 5.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,354 loss on $10,000 · 43.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: More sales of parts may mean the company is getting better. This helps with money and focus.
Watch forNew sales or divestitures will come after the ones announced in June 2026.
Also watch forNo new divestitures have been announced since the last transactions.
Why it matters: If revenue growth drops, it may signal a slowdown in the sector. This could hurt investor confidence.
Worry ifRevenue growth reported below the median for the sector in upcoming quarters.
Less concerning ifRevenue growth remains above the median for the sector.
Why it matters: Management is focused on buying and selling companies. New news will show their progress.
Supportive ifAnnouncement of more buying or selling that fits strategic goals.
Worry ifNo new news about buying or selling by the end of Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Better cash flow means improved operations and financial stability. This is key for future growth.
Supportive ifIn Q3, cash from operations is positive. This follows a negative $297 million in Q1 2026.
Worry ifQ3 cash from operations is still negative.
Why it matters: News about acquisitions shows that management wants to grow. It helps improve the portfolio.
Supportive ifNew acquisitions or partnerships will be announced in the next quarter.
Worry ifNo new acquisitions or partnerships will be announced in the next quarter.
Why it matters: Earnings results will show if the company is recovering from the recent miss.
Watch forQ2 earnings report shows revenue growth exceeding 5% year over year.
Also watch forQ2 earnings report shows revenue decline year over year.
Why it matters: Keeping or raising EPS guidance shows that finances are strong and stable.
Supportive ifManagement reaffirms or raises the EPS guidance above $1.19 per share.
Worry ifManagement lowers EPS guidance below $1.19 per share.
Why it matters: Meeting the EPS guidance shows better financial health. It also helps investor confidence.
Supportive ifQ3 EPS reported at or above $1.19 per share.
Worry ifQ3 EPS reported below $1.19 per share.