Community Health Systems, Inc. (CYH)
NYSEHealth CareMedical - Care FacilitiesSnapshot 2026-11-05
$2.28-4.20%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEHealth CareMedical - Care FacilitiesSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CYH
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -24.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -2.4% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 21.6 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name has been missing across recent quarters and is on a run of consecutive earnings misses. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 18 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
CYH — earnings miss
Dated 2026-10-28
above also includes the Company’s 2026 updated annual earnings guidance. This 2026 guidance is based on the Company’s historical operating performance, current trends and other assumptions the Company believes are reasonable at this time as set forth on pages 16, 17, 18, 19 and 20 of the press release. A copy of the press release making this announcement is attached as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated by reference into this
Why it matters: Same-store revenue grew 3.8% in Q3, but company-wide revenue fell 10.7%. A sharp slowdown in same-store growth would add pressure.
Worry ifQ4 same-store net operating revenue growth is below 2% year over year.
Less concerning ifQ4 same-store net operating revenue growth stays at or above 3% year over year.
Why it matters: Q3 adjusted EBITDA fell to $280 million from $376 million a year ago. Another drop would show that payor mix and higher specialist fees still weigh on results.
Worry ifQ4 adjusted EBITDA is below $280 million. The company cites weak payor mix or higher specialist fees.
Less concerning ifQ4 adjusted EBITDA is at least $280 million, with improved payor mix or lower specialist fees.
Why it matters: Q3 operating cash flow was $155 million, while the first nine months used $55 million. Positive Q4 cash flow would show a stronger cash trend.
Supportive ifThe Q4 report shows positive operating cash flow. Full-year operating cash flow is above zero.
Worry ifThe Q4 report shows negative operating cash flow. Full-year operating cash flow is below zero.
Why it matters: The Q3 release says the company updated its 2026 guidance after lower results. The year-end report will show whether results met that range.
Watch forThe 2026 results fall within or above the updated annual guidance range issued with the Q3 results.
Also watch forThe company reports 2026 results below the low end of its updated annual guidance range.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$175 on $10,000 · ±1.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $571 loss on $10,000 · 5.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,744 loss on $10,000 · 47.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.