Daktronics, Inc. (DAKT)
NASDAQInformation TechnologyHardware, Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$19.35-0.67%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologyHardware, Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · DAKT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance recently climbed back into the top half of its industry — confirming the recovery.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -31.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 9.4% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 41.0 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 40 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
DAKT — credit agreement
Dated 2026-09-02
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. Effective September 1, 2026, Daktronics, Inc., a Delaware corporation (the “ Company ”) entered into an Amendment No. 1 to Credit Agreement (“ Amendment No. 1 ”) with JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A., as agent (the “ Agent ”) the Lenders (as defined in the Credit Agreement), and the other Loan Parties (as defined in the Credit Agreement), which amended that certain Credit Agreement, dated November 26, 2025 (the “ Credit Agreement ”), by and among the Compa…
Why it matters: Updates on product innovation can show whether the company is extending its market leadership. This is vital for future growth.
Watch forManagement announces a new product or a big upgrade. This will help customer tools.
Also watch forNo new product news or updates on innovation efforts in the next quarter.
Why it matters: Hitting this margin shows strong efficiency. It also shows progress toward long-term goals.
Supportive ifQ3 operating margin is 10% or higher.
Worry ifQ3 operating margin stays below 7%.
Why it matters: A growing backlog shows strong future sales. This means more demand for Daktronics' products.
Supportive ifProduct backlog increases to $370 million or more.
Worry ifProduct backlog decreases or stays below $350 million.
Why it matters: ROIC is a key measure of financial health. Achieving the 17-20% target is critical for long-term success.
Supportive ifManagement reports ROIC numbers that are 17% or higher in the next earnings.
Worry ifROIC numbers were below 15%, showing a lack of improvement in returns.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$158 on $10,000 · ±1.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $368 loss on $10,000 · 3.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,148 loss on $10,000 · 31.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Updates on the share buyback program show that management trusts the company's value.
Supportive ifThere was an announcement for more share buybacks beyond the $40 million limit.
Worry ifNo updates or reductions in the share repurchase program.
Why it matters: ROIC guidance shows how well management can make money. Not meeting this goal raises worries.
Supportive ifManagement confirms ROIC of 17-20% for fiscal 2028.
Worry ifManagement lowers ROIC guidance to below 17% for fiscal 2028.
Why it matters: A big drop in orders may show less demand. This could hurt future revenue growth.
Worry ifQ3 new orders decline more than 10% compared to Q3 of fiscal 2026.
Less concerning ifQ3 new orders remain stable or increase year over year.
Why it matters: If sector revenue growth drops below its median, it could hurt Daktronics. The sector is currently in a growth phase.
Worry ifSector revenue growth has been below its median for two months in a row.
Less concerning ifSector revenue growth remains above its median for the same period.
Why it matters: Slower revenue growth may mean trouble keeping market position. It could also hurt profits.
Worry ifQ3 revenue growth falls below 7% year over year.
Less concerning ifQ3 revenue growth stays at or above 10% year over year.
Why it matters: Stabilizing revenue growth would support the goal of 7-10% CAGR and show recovery.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue growth is over 5% compared to last year. This shows recovery.
Worry ifQ3 revenue growth is below 0%. This shows ongoing volatility.
Why it matters: A drop in orders could signal weakening demand and affect future revenue growth.
Worry ifQ2 orders were below $200 million. This is a big drop from $191.8 million in Q1.
Less concerning ifQ2 orders exceed $200 million, showing strong demand and supporting revenue growth.
Why it matters: A backlog drop could indicate declining future sales and hurt growth targets.
Worry ifProduct backlog is below $300 million. This means less chance for future sales.
Less concerning ifProduct backlog is above $300 million. This shows strong demand and growth chance.
Why it matters: More buybacks may show management's trust in the company. This can help the share price.
Supportive ifShare repurchases were over $10 million in Q2. This shows a strong return of capital.
Worry ifShare repurchases are below $10 million. This suggests a careful approach to capital use.
Why it matters: A margin drop may show problems. This could hurt profit goals.
Worry ifOperating margin is below 10%. This may mean there are operational issues.
Less concerning ifOperating margin is at or above 10%. This means the operations are performing well.