Designer Brands, Inc. (DBI)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - Footwear & AccessoriesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$5.26+2.14%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - Footwear & AccessoriesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · DBI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -62.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 1.3% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 63.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 8 industry peers
DBI — dividend update
Dated 2026-06-11
Other Events. On June 10, 2026, the Board approved a quarterly cash dividend of $0.05 per share of the Company’s Class A and Class B common shares. The dividend will be paid on July 8, 2026 to shareholders of record as of the close of business on June 25, 2026. As it is customary, details regarding the record and payment dates for any future quarterly dividends will be announced at the time such dividends are declared by the Board. Signature Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exch…
Why it matters: Hitting the high end of EPS guidance shows strong profits. It also shows good cost control.
Supportive ifQ2 diluted EPS reported above $0.38.
Worry ifQ2 diluted EPS reported below $0.28.
Why it matters: Changes in the dividend could show management's trust in future cash flow and profits.
Watch forAnnouncement of an increase in the quarterly dividend beyond $0.05 per share.
Also watch forA dividend cut or suspension has been announced.
Why it matters: The FOMC decision can impact consumer spending and interest rates. This affects retail performance.
Watch forFOMC keeps interest rates the same or lowers them. This helps consumer spending.
Also watch forFOMC raises interest rates. This may slow down consumer spending.
Why it matters: Changes in the CPI can affect consumer spending. This impacts Designer Brands' sales.
Watch forCPI shows an increase above 0.5% on July 14, 2026.
Also watch forCPI shows a decrease below 0% on July 14, 2026.
Why it matters: Consumer spending trends impact sales. A positive trend can boost Designer Brands' performance.
Watch forConsumer Price Index shows an increase in consumer spending.
Also watch forConsumer Price Index shows a decrease in consumer spending.
Why it matters: More margin growth shows good cost management and pricing plans.
Supportive ifGross margin expands more than 240 basis points in Q2.
Worry ifGross margin expansion is less than 240 basis points.
Why it matters: A larger drop would show weakness in Retail and less demand from consumers.
Worry ifQ2 comparable sales decline worse than -1.1%.
Less concerning ifComparable sales stabilize or grow year over year.
Why it matters: Growing revenue shows the consumer discretionary sector is recovering. This can boost market mood.
Supportive ifRevenue growth is expected to be positive in the next quarterly earnings report.
Worry ifRevenue growth remains negative in the next report.
Why it matters: Restating EPS guidance shows that management thinks they can reach their financial goals.
Supportive ifManagement reaffirms EPS guidance for 2026 at the high end of the range.
Worry ifManagement lowers EPS guidance for 2026.
Why it matters: Improving cash flow is crucial for funding operations and supporting growth plans.
Supportive ifCash from operations turns positive in Q2 2026.
Worry ifCash from operations remains negative in Q2 2026.
Why it matters: Looking at sales trends will show if retail is getting better or worse.
Watch forQ2 comparable sales growth turns positive year over year.
Also watch forQ2 comparable sales decline year over year.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$262 on $10,000 · ±2.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $649 loss on $10,000 · 6.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,347 loss on $10,000 · 43.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.