DigitalBridge Group, Inc. (DBRG)
NYSEFinancialsAsset ManagementSnapshot 2026-09-04
$15.93-0.06%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEFinancialsAsset ManagementSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · DBRG
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance dropped from the top half to the bottom half of its industry over the past month — the reason to own it has weakened.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -13.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -17.2% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 3.7 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 35 industry peers
DBRG — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-04
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On August 4, 2026 , DigitalBridge Group, Inc. (the “Company”) issued an earnings release and detailed presentation announcing its financial position as of June 30, 2026 and its financial results for the quarter ended June 30, 2026. A copy of the earnings release is attached as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K. The information included in this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1 hereto, shall not be deemed “filed” for…
Why it matters: How capital is used affects financial health and growth.
Watch forManagement shared a new plan to use capital better.
Also watch forNo updates on capital use strategy. This suggests ongoing problems.
Why it matters: Earnings results will show if the company improves after the recent earnings miss. Investors look for signs of recovery.
Watch forQ2 earnings report shows revenue growth over $72.2M. This means the company is recovering.
Also watch forQ2 earnings report shows revenue below $72.2M, suggesting ongoing struggles.
Why it matters: A drop in revenue growth could signal a slowdown in the financial sector. This would affect DigitalBridge's performance.
Worry ifRevenue growth falls below the median of 15% over the last three years.
Less concerning ifRevenue growth remains at or above the median of 15%.
Why it matters: Acquisitions are key to growth. Progress can signal stronger future performance.
Supportive ifA new acquisition was announced. It fits with growth goals.
Worry ifNo new acquisitions were announced. This shows a slowdown in growth.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$13 on $10,000 · ±0.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $258 loss on $10,000 · 2.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,369 loss on $10,000 · 33.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Completing the merger is key for DigitalBridge's growth. It can help money and operations.
Supportive ifThe merger is done as expected and on time.
Worry ifThe merger faces significant delays or fails to meet key closing conditions.
Why it matters: More cash reserves can show stronger financial health. It also allows for future investments.
Supportive ifCorporate cash reserves increase beyond $300 million by the end of Q3 2026.
Worry ifCorporate cash reserves fall below $250 million by the end of Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Updates on acquisitions will show if the company is expanding as planned. This is important for growth.
Supportive ifLook for news about how the recent acquisition is doing.
Worry ifNo news or bad news about the acquisition integration.
Why it matters: How the sector performs affects DigitalBridge's growth. A slowdown may change how investors feel.
Worry ifSector revenue growth is below its median, showing a possible slowdown.
Less concerning ifSector revenue growth stays above its median, showing continued strength.
Why it matters: Growing fee revenue is important for DigitalBridge's finances. It shows that operations are strong.
Supportive ifFee revenue growth in Q3 shows an increase year-over-year, ideally above 3%.
Worry ifFee revenue growth is down year-over-year, dropping below 0%.
Why it matters: This report will show if the company can keep or improve its financial results.
Watch forEarnings per share (EPS) are above $0.03, showing better financial health.
Also watch forEPS is below $0.03. This shows ongoing financial problems.
Why it matters: Updates on capital use will show how well the company handles its money. This is important for stability.
Watch forManagement presents a new plan to improve how they use capital.
Also watch forManagement does not give a clear capital allocation plan. This raises concerns.
Why it matters: This acquisition can help DigitalBridge grow. It can also improve its digital and power services.
Supportive ifThe ArcLight acquisition is done. It has all the needed approvals and partner agreements.
Worry ifThe acquisition does not close. This is due to unmet conditions or regulatory issues.
Why it matters: Lower growth may show problems with finances and affect how investors feel.
Worry ifLTM distributable earnings growth is below 30% compared to last year.
Less concerning ifLTM distributable earnings growth is above 30% compared to last year.